Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.55 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.55Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultFC Dallas to win ✗52% · @1.97
Double chanceEither team to win ✗80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.48
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.41
FC Dallas vs St. Louis City preview and prediction
The match
The Major League Soccer sees FC Dallas take on St. Louis City on Sunday 12 April, kicking off at 01:30 (WAT) at Toyota Stadium. FC Dallas are 2nd with 58 points from 34 games (in the top four), while St. Louis City sit 3rd on 54 points (in the top four).
Form guide
FC Dallas's last 5: WWDLD Most recently they beat DC United 4–0 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game.
St. Louis City's last 5: DWLLL Most recently they drew with New York City FC 1–1 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
FC Dallas arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 1.8 for FC Dallas and 1.2 for St. Louis City. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score in 61% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: FC Dallas 52%, draw 20%, St. Louis City 28%.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.48.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 62% chance at odds of 1.55. Predicted score: FC Dallas 1–1 St. Louis City. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
FC Dallas52%fair 1.92 · @1.97
Draw20%fair 4.97 · @3.70
St. Louis City28%fair 3.60 · @3.40
3.05Expected goals
1.81FC Dallas xG
1.24St. Louis City xG
61%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
2–110%
1–09%
2–08%
1–27%
2–26%
From our goals model: FC Dallas 1.8 – 1.2 St. Louis City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FC Dallas to win✗
52%
1.92
1.97
Double chance
Either team to win✗
80%
1.25
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.63
1.48
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.24
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
59%
1.68
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
1.55
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
39%
2.58
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FC Dallas / FT FC Dallas✗
31%
3.21
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.41
–
Form
FC Dallas – last 6
WWDLDW
5 Apr
@ DC United
4–0
W
22 Mar
vs Houston Dynamo
4–3
W
15 Mar
vs San Diego
3–3
D
8 Mar
@ Los Angeles FC
0–1
L
1 Mar
vs Nashville SC
0–0
D
22 Feb
vs Toronto FC
3–2
W
2.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
St. Louis City – last 5
DWLLL
5 Apr
@ New York City FC
1–1
D
22 Mar
vs New England Revolution
3–1
W
15 Mar
@ Los Angeles FC
0–2
L
8 Mar
vs Seattle Sounders
0–1
L
2 Mar
@ San Diego
0–2
L
0.8Scored / game
1.4Conceded / game
40%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FC Dallas and St. Louis City.
What is the prediction for FC Dallas vs St. Louis City?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win FC Dallas vs St. Louis City?
On our numbers FC Dallas have a 52% chance of winning, the draw 20% and St. Louis City 28%.
How many goals will there be in FC Dallas vs St. Louis City?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC Dallas vs St. Louis City?
Our predicted score is FC Dallas 1–1 St. Louis City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is FC Dallas vs St. Louis City?
FC Dallas vs St. Louis City (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Sunday 12 April 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Toyota Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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New York Red Bulls2
New York City FC0
Charlotte1
Nashville SC2
New England Revolution1
DC United0
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