Inter Miami vs New York Red Bulls preview and prediction
The match
The Major League Soccer sees Inter Miami take on New York Red Bulls on Sunday 12 April, kicking off at 00:30 (WAT) at Nu Stadium. Inter Miami are 2nd with 60 points from 34 games (in the top four), while New York Red Bulls sit 10th on 42 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 18 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Inter Miami's last 5: DDDDW Most recently they drew with Austin 2–2 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 1.3 conceded.
New York Red Bulls's last 3: WLW Most recently they beat FC Cincinnati 4–2 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game.
New York Red Bulls arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.6 goals: 2.5 for Inter Miami and 1.1 for New York Red Bulls. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score in 64% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Inter Miami 69%, draw 17%, New York Red Bulls 14%.
Safer route: Inter Miami or draw (86%) at 1.15.
Both teams to score: yes (64%) at 1.45.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Inter Miami to win – a 69% chance at odds of 1.49, above our fair price of 1.45, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Inter Miami 2–1 New York Red Bulls. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Inter Miami69%fair 1.45 · @1.49
Draw17%fair 5.83 · @4.90
New York Red Bulls14%fair 7.26 · @5.10
3.59Expected goals
2.53Inter Miami xG
1.06New York Red Bulls xG
64%Both score
70%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–19%
2–09%
3–18%
3–07%
1–17%
1–07%
From our goals model: Inter Miami 2.5 – 1.1 New York Red Bulls expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Inter Miami to win✗
69%
1.45
1.49
Double chance
Inter Miami or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
64%
1.56
1.45
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
1.09
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
70%
1.44
1.35
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
51%
1.95
1.85
Half-time result
Inter Miami ahead at half-time✗
52%
1.93
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Inter Miami / FT Inter Miami✗
46%
2.15
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.68
–
Form
Inter Miami – last 6
DDDDWL
5 Apr
vs Austin
2–2
D
19 Mar
vs Nashville SC
1–1
D
15 Mar
@ Charlotte
0–0
D
12 Mar
@ Nashville SC
0–0
D
2 Mar
@ Orlando City SC
4–2
W
22 Feb
@ Los Angeles FC
0–3
L
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
New York Red Bulls – last 3
WLW
5 Apr
vs FC Cincinnati
4–2
W
22 Mar
@ Charlotte
1–6
L
22 Feb
@ Orlando City SC
2–1
W
2.3Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Inter Miami and New York Red Bulls.
What is the prediction for Inter Miami vs New York Red Bulls?
Our pick is Inter Miami to win with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.49.
Who will win Inter Miami vs New York Red Bulls?
On our numbers Inter Miami have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 17% and New York Red Bulls 14%.
How many goals will there be in Inter Miami vs New York Red Bulls?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Inter Miami vs New York Red Bulls?
Our predicted score is Inter Miami 2–1 New York Red Bulls, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is Inter Miami vs New York Red Bulls?
Inter Miami vs New York Red Bulls (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Sunday 12 April 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Nu Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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