Chicago Fire vs Atlanta United FC preview and prediction
The match
The Major League Soccer sees Chicago Fire take on Atlanta United FC on Sunday 12 April, kicking off at 01:30 (WAT) at Soldier Field. Chicago Fire are 4th with 55 points from 34 games (in the top four), while Atlanta United FC sit 13th on 33 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 22 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Chicago Fire's last 5: WLDDL Most recently they beat Nashville SC 1–0 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Atlanta United FC's last 4: LDLL Most recently they lost to Columbus Crew 1–3 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Chicago Fire arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.0 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 2.0 for Chicago Fire and 0.7 for Atlanta United FC. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 56%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Chicago Fire 68%, draw 22%, Atlanta United FC 10%.
Safer route: Chicago Fire or draw (90%) at 1.14.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.70.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Chicago Fire 2–0 Atlanta United FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Chicago Fire68%fair 1.47 · @1.57
Draw22%fair 4.53 · @4.20
Atlanta United FC10%fair 9.94 · @5.10
2.74Expected goals
2.05Chicago Fire xG
0.69Atlanta United FC xG
56%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–014%
1–013%
2–19%
3–09%
1–19%
0–06%
From our goals model: Chicago Fire 2.0 – 0.7 Atlanta United FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Chicago Fire to win✓
68%
1.47
1.57 ▲
Double chance
Chicago Fire or draw✓
90%
1.11
1.14
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.80
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
77%
1.30
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.84
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.48
1.48
Half-time result
Chicago Fire ahead at half-time✓
49%
2.03
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Chicago Fire / FT Chicago Fire✓
45%
2.22
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
14%
7.36
–
Form
Chicago Fire – last 5
WLDDL
5 Apr
vs Nashville SC
1–0
W
9 Mar
@ Orlando City II
1–2
L
8 Mar
@ Columbus Crew
0–0
D
28 Feb
@ Inter Miami II
1–1
D
22 Feb
@ Houston Dynamo
1–2
L
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
60%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Atlanta United FC – last 4
LDLL
5 Apr
vs Columbus Crew
1–3
L
22 Mar
vs DC United
0–0
D
8 Mar
vs Real Salt Lake
2–3
L
1 Mar
@ San Jose Earthquakes
0–2
L
0.8Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Chicago Fire and Atlanta United FC.
What is the prediction for Chicago Fire vs Atlanta United FC?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Chicago Fire vs Atlanta United FC?
On our numbers Chicago Fire have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Atlanta United FC 10%.
How many goals will there be in Chicago Fire vs Atlanta United FC?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Chicago Fire vs Atlanta United FC?
Our predicted score is Chicago Fire 2–0 Atlanta United FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Chicago Fire vs Atlanta United FC?
Chicago Fire vs Atlanta United FC (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Sunday 12 April 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Soldier Field.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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