Value bet: St. Louis City to win @ 1.90 – our chance 62% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultSt. Louis City to win ✓62% · @1.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✓87% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 9.50
St. Louis City vs New England Revolution preview and prediction
The match
New England Revolution travel to Energizer Park in the Major League Soccer on Sunday 22 March (01:30 WAT) to face St. Louis City. St. Louis City are 3rd with 54 points from 34 games (in the top four), while New England Revolution sit 3rd on 58 points (in the top four).
Form guide
St. Louis City's last 3: LLL Most recently they lost to Los Angeles FC 0–2 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.0 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.9 for St. Louis City and 1.0 for New England Revolution. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 55%, both teams to score at 62%.
Betting angles
Win chances: St. Louis City 62%, draw 13%, New England Revolution 25%.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.62.
Value angle: St. Louis City to win at 1.90 – 62% on our numbers against 53% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: St. Louis City 1–1 New England Revolution. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
St. Louis City62%fair 1.61 · @1.90
Draw13%fair 7.51 · @3.70
New England Revolution25%fair 4.06 · @3.65
2.88Expected goals
1.87St. Louis City xG
1.01New England Revolution xG
62%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–011%
2–110%
2–010%
3–16%
3–06%
From our goals model: St. Louis City 1.9 – 1.0 New England Revolution expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
St. Louis City to win✓
62%
1.61
1.90 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
87%
1.15
1.22 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.62
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.82
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
67%
1.49
1.42
Half-time result
St. Louis City ahead at half-time✓
42%
2.38
–
Half-time / full-time
HT St. Louis City / FT St. Louis City✓
36%
2.78
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
9.50
–
Form
St. Louis City – last 3
LLL
15 Mar
@ Los Angeles FC
0–2
L
8 Mar
vs Seattle Sounders
0–1
L
2 Mar
@ San Diego
0–2
L
0.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
New England Revolution – last 2
WL
15 Mar
vs FC Cincinnati
6–1
W
22 Feb
@ Nashville SC
1–4
L
3.5Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between St. Louis City and New England Revolution.
What is the prediction for St. Louis City vs New England Revolution?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win St. Louis City vs New England Revolution?
On our numbers St. Louis City have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 13% and New England Revolution 25%.
How many goals will there be in St. Louis City vs New England Revolution?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for St. Louis City vs New England Revolution?
Our predicted score is St. Louis City 1–1 New England Revolution, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is St. Louis City vs New England Revolution?
St. Louis City vs New England Revolution (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Energizer Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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