FC Cincinnati vs CF Montreal Prediction, Odds & Analysis – 22 Mar 2026

Quick tips for this match

ResultFC Cincinnati to win66% · @1.66

Double chanceFC Cincinnati or draw85% · @1.18

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score61% · @1.62

GoalsOver 1.5 goals80% · @1.20

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–011% · fair 9.14

FC Cincinnati vs CF Montreal preview and prediction

The match

FC Cincinnati host CF Montreal in the Major League Soccer on Sunday 22 March, with kick-off at 18:00 (WAT) at TQL Stadium. FC Cincinnati are 9th with 46 points from 34 games (in the bottom half), while CF Montreal sit 15th on 26 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 20 points shows the difference in quality this season.

Form guide

FC Cincinnati's last 5: LLWLW Most recently they lost to Tigres UANL 1–5 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 2.2 for FC Cincinnati and 0.9 for CF Montreal. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score in 61% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.

Betting angles

Win chances: FC Cincinnati 66%, draw 20%, CF Montreal 15%.
Safer route: FC Cincinnati or draw (85%) at 1.18.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.62.
Value angle: FC Cincinnati to win at 1.66 – 66% on our numbers against 60% implied by the price.

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 80% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: FC Cincinnati 2–0 CF Montreal. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

FC Cincinnati66%fair 1.52 · @1.66

Draw20%fair 5.13 · @3.95

CF Montreal15%fair 6.89 · @4.60

3.05Expected goals

2.15FC Cincinnati xG

0.90CF Montreal xG

61%Both score

58%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

2–011%

1–010%

2–110%

1–19%

3–08%

3–17%

From our goals model: FC Cincinnati 2.2 – 0.9 CF Montreal expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	FC Cincinnati to win	66%	1.52	1.66 ▲
Double chance	FC Cincinnati or draw	85%	1.17	1.18
Both teams to score	Both teams to score	61%	1.63	1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals	80%	1.26	1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals	58%	1.72	1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals	64%	1.57	1.48
Half-time result	FC Cincinnati ahead at half-time	48%	2.08	–
Half-time / full-time	HT FC Cincinnati / FT FC Cincinnati	43%	2.33	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–0	11%	9.14	–

Form

FC Cincinnati – last 6

LLWLWL

20 Mar	@ Tigres UANL	1–5	L
15 Mar	@ New England Revolution	1–6	L
13 Mar	vs Tigres UANL	3–0	W
9 Mar	vs Toronto FC	0–1	L
26 Feb	vs Universidad O&M	9–0	W
22 Feb	vs Louisville City	0–4	L

2.3Scored / game

2.7Conceded / game

33%Both scored

83%Over 2.5

CF Montreal – last 2

15 Mar	@ Orlando City SC	1–2	L
22 Feb	@ San Diego	0–5	L

0.5Scored / game

3.5Conceded / game

50%Both scored

100%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Nashville SC	34	23	8	3	+46	77
2	Inter Miami	34	16	12	6	+21	60
3	New England Revolution	34	18	4	12	+8	58
4	Chicago Fire	34	16	7	11	+10	55
5	Charlotte	34	15	9	10	+15	54
6	Philadelphia Union	34	14	8	12	+14	50
7	Columbus Crew	34	14	5	15	+7	47
8	Orlando City SC	34	13	7	14	-15	46
9	FC Cincinnati	34	12	10	12	-8	46
10	New York Red Bulls	34	12	6	16	-14	42
11	New York City FC	34	10	12	12	+4	42
12	Toronto FC	34	9	12	13	-15	39
13	Atlanta United FC	34	9	6	19	-17	33
14	DC United	34	7	12	15	-22	33
15	CF Montreal	34	6	8	20	-32	26

Team

Pts

Nashville SC

+46

Inter Miami

+21

New England Revolution

+10

+15

+14

-15

-8

-14

-15

-17

-22

-32

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for FC Cincinnati vs CF Montreal?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win FC Cincinnati vs CF Montreal?

On our numbers FC Cincinnati have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 20% and CF Montreal 15%.

How many goals will there be in FC Cincinnati vs CF Montreal?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for FC Cincinnati vs CF Montreal?

Our predicted score is FC Cincinnati 2–0 CF Montreal, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is FC Cincinnati vs CF Montreal?

FC Cincinnati vs CF Montreal (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at TQL Stadium.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

By day

Match result

Goals

Exact outcomes