Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Houston Dynamo to win @ 2.92 – our chance 37% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultFC Dallas to win ✓40% · @2.22
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.63
FC Dallas vs Houston Dynamo preview and prediction
The match
The Major League Soccer sees FC Dallas take on Houston Dynamo on Sunday 22 March, kicking off at 01:30 (WAT) at Toyota Stadium. FC Dallas are 2nd with 58 points from 34 games (in the top four), while Houston Dynamo sit 5th on 51 points (in the top half).
Form guide
FC Dallas's last 4: DLDW Most recently they drew with San Diego 3–3 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.5 for FC Dallas and 1.5 for Houston Dynamo. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 57% and both teams to score at 64%.
Betting angles
Win chances: FC Dallas 40%, draw 22%, Houston Dynamo 37%.
Both teams to score: yes (64%) at 1.57.
Value angle: Houston Dynamo to win at 2.92 – 37% on our numbers against 34% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 79% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: FC Dallas 1–1 Houston Dynamo. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
FC Dallas40%fair 2.47 · @2.22
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.60
Houston Dynamo37%fair 2.69 · @2.92
3.02Expected goals
1.55FC Dallas xG
1.47Houston Dynamo xG
64%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
2–19%
1–28%
1–08%
0–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: FC Dallas 1.5 – 1.5 Houston Dynamo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FC Dallas to win✓
40%
2.47
2.22
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
64%
1.56
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.76
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
65%
1.53
1.42
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.53
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FC Dallas / FT FC Dallas✗
23%
4.28
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.63
–
Form
FC Dallas – last 4
DLDW
15 Mar
vs San Diego
3–3
D
8 Mar
@ Los Angeles FC
0–1
L
1 Mar
vs Nashville SC
0–0
D
22 Feb
vs Toronto FC
3–2
W
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Houston Dynamo – last 2
LW
1 Mar
vs Los Angeles FC
0–2
L
22 Feb
vs Chicago Fire
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FC Dallas and Houston Dynamo.
What is the prediction for FC Dallas vs Houston Dynamo?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win FC Dallas vs Houston Dynamo?
On our numbers FC Dallas have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Houston Dynamo 37%.
How many goals will there be in FC Dallas vs Houston Dynamo?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC Dallas vs Houston Dynamo?
Our predicted score is FC Dallas 1–1 Houston Dynamo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is FC Dallas vs Houston Dynamo?
FC Dallas vs Houston Dynamo (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Toyota Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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