Value bet: New York Red Bulls to win @ 3.50 – our chance 36% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +24%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultCharlotte to win ✓44% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗10% · fair 9.53
Charlotte vs New York Red Bulls preview and prediction
The match
New York Red Bulls travel to Bank of America Stadium in the Major League Soccer on Sunday 22 March (00:30 WAT) to face Charlotte. Charlotte are 5th with 54 points from 34 games (in the top half), while New York Red Bulls sit 10th on 42 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Charlotte's last 3: DWL Most recently they drew with Inter Miami 0–0 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.4 for Charlotte and 1.2 for New York Red Bulls. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 60%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Charlotte 44%, draw 21%, New York Red Bulls 36%.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.57.
Value angle: New York Red Bulls to win at 3.50 – 36% on our numbers against 29% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 70% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Charlotte 1–1 New York Red Bulls. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Charlotte44%fair 2.29 · @2.00
Draw21%fair 4.81 · @3.45
New York Red Bulls36%fair 2.82 · @3.50
2.57Expected goals
1.37Charlotte xG
1.20New York Red Bulls xG
60%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–010%
0–19%
2–19%
0–08%
1–28%
From our goals model: Charlotte 1.4 – 1.2 New York Red Bulls expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Charlotte to win✓
44%
2.29
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.67
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.95
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
70%
1.43
1.44
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Charlotte / FT Charlotte✓
24%
4.20
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
10%
9.53
–
Form
Charlotte – last 3
DWL
15 Mar
vs Inter Miami
0–0
D
8 Mar
vs Austin
3–1
W
1 Mar
@ Los Angeles Galaxy
0–3
L
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
New York Red Bulls – last 1
W
22 Feb
@ Orlando City SC
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Charlotte and New York Red Bulls.
What is the prediction for Charlotte vs New York Red Bulls?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Charlotte vs New York Red Bulls?
On our numbers Charlotte have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 21% and New York Red Bulls 36%.
How many goals will there be in Charlotte vs New York Red Bulls?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Charlotte vs New York Red Bulls?
Our predicted score is Charlotte 1–1 New York Red Bulls, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Charlotte vs New York Red Bulls?
Charlotte vs New York Red Bulls (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Bank of America Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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