Value bet: DC United to win @ 3.45 – our chance 36% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +23%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAtlanta United FC to win ✗44% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗10% · fair 9.95
Atlanta United FC vs DC United preview and prediction
The match
DC United travel to Mercedes-Benz Stadium in the Major League Soccer on Sunday 22 March (00:30 WAT) to face Atlanta United FC. Atlanta United FC are 13th with 33 points from 34 games (in the bottom three), while DC United sit 14th on 33 points (in the bottom three). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.4 for Atlanta United FC and 1.2 for DC United. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 57%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Atlanta United FC 44%, draw 21%, DC United 36%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.73.
Value angle: DC United to win at 3.45 – 36% on our numbers against 29% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Atlanta United FC 1–1 DC United. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Atlanta United FC44%fair 2.29 · @2.00
Draw21%fair 4.85 · @3.50
DC United36%fair 2.80 · @3.45
2.64Expected goals
1.41Atlanta United FC xG
1.23DC United xG
57%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–010%
0–19%
2–19%
1–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Atlanta United FC 1.4 – 1.2 DC United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Atlanta United FC to win✗
44%
2.29
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✗
79%
1.26
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.75
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
74%
1.36
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.97
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.33
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Atlanta United FC / FT Atlanta United FC✗
24%
4.17
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
10%
9.95
–
Form
Atlanta United FC – last 2
LL
8 Mar
vs Real Salt Lake
2–3
L
1 Mar
@ San Jose Earthquakes
0–2
L
1.0Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
DC United – last 1
W
22 Feb
vs Philadelphia Union
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Atlanta United FC and DC United.
What is the prediction for Atlanta United FC vs DC United?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Atlanta United FC vs DC United?
On our numbers Atlanta United FC have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 21% and DC United 36%.
How many goals will there be in Atlanta United FC vs DC United?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atlanta United FC vs DC United?
Our predicted score is Atlanta United FC 1–1 DC United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Atlanta United FC vs DC United?
Atlanta United FC vs DC United (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Mercedes-Benz Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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