Sporting Kansas City vs San Diego prediction & analysis
83%
Footrivo pick
San Diego or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultSan Diego to win ✓59% · @1.73
Double chanceSan Diego or draw ✓83% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗83% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.21
Sporting Kansas City vs San Diego preview and prediction
The match
The Major League Soccer sees Sporting Kansas City take on San Diego on Sunday 8 March, kicking off at 02:30 (WAT). Sporting Kansas City are 15th with 26 points from 34 games (in the bottom three), while San Diego sit 13th on 38 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 1.1 for Sporting Kansas City and 2.2 for San Diego. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score in 63% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Sporting Kansas City 17%, draw 24%, San Diego 59%.
Safer route: San Diego or draw (83%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (63%) at 1.53.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was San Diego or draw – a 83% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Sporting Kansas City 1–2 San Diego. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sporting Kansas City17%fair 5.77 · @4.10
Draw24%fair 4.21 · @4.00
San Diego59%fair 1.70 · @1.73
3.32Expected goals
1.15Sporting Kansas City xG
2.17San Diego xG
63%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–210%
1–19%
0–29%
0–18%
1–37%
0–36%
From our goals model: Sporting Kansas City 1.1 – 2.2 San Diego expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
San Diego to win✓
59%
1.70
1.73
Double chance
San Diego or draw✓
83%
1.21
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
63%
1.60
1.53
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
83%
1.21
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
63%
1.60
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
59%
1.70
1.57
Half-time result
San Diego ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT San Diego / FT San Diego✓
39%
2.55
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.21
–
Form
Sporting Kansas City – last 2
DL
1 Mar
vs Columbus Crew
2–2
D
22 Feb
@ San Jose Earthquakes
0–3
L
1.0Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
San Diego – last 2
WW
2 Mar
vs St. Louis City
2–0
W
22 Feb
vs CF Montreal
5–0
W
3.5Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sporting Kansas City and San Diego.
What is the prediction for Sporting Kansas City vs San Diego?
Our pick is San Diego or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Sporting Kansas City vs San Diego?
On our numbers Sporting Kansas City have a 17% chance of winning, the draw 24% and San Diego 59%.
How many goals will there be in Sporting Kansas City vs San Diego?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sporting Kansas City vs San Diego?
Our predicted score is Sporting Kansas City 1–2 San Diego, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Sporting Kansas City vs San Diego?
Sporting Kansas City vs San Diego (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Sunday 8 March 2026 at 02:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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