Value bet: Austin to win @ 3.55 – our chance 37% vs 28% implied by the price (edge +31%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultCharlotte to win ✓40% · @2.02
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗10% · fair 9.92
Charlotte vs Austin preview and prediction
The match
Austin travel to Bank of America Stadium in the Major League Soccer on Sunday 8 March (01:30 WAT) to face Charlotte. Charlotte are 5th with 54 points from 34 games (in the top half), while Austin sit 14th on 34 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 20 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.3 for Charlotte and 1.3 for Austin. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 57%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Charlotte 40%, draw 23%, Austin 37%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.73.
Value angle: Austin to win at 3.55 – 37% on our numbers against 28% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.33. Predicted score: Charlotte 1–1 Austin. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Charlotte40%fair 2.49 · @2.02
Draw23%fair 4.37 · @3.45
Austin37%fair 2.71 · @3.55
2.57Expected goals
1.32Charlotte xG
1.25Austin xG
57%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–010%
0–110%
2–18%
1–28%
0–08%
From our goals model: Charlotte 1.3 – 1.3 Austin expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Charlotte to win✓
40%
2.49
2.02
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.76
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.94
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
73%
1.38
1.33
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Charlotte / FT Charlotte✗
22%
4.51
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
10%
9.92
–
Form
Charlotte – last 1
L
1 Mar
@ Los Angeles Galaxy
0–3
L
0.0Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Austin – last 1
D
22 Feb
vs Minnesota United FC
2–2
D
2.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Charlotte and Austin.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Charlotte vs Austin?
On our numbers Charlotte have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Austin 37%.
How many goals will there be in Charlotte vs Austin?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Charlotte vs Austin?
Our predicted score is Charlotte 1–1 Austin, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Charlotte vs Austin?
Charlotte vs Austin (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Sunday 8 March 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Bank of America Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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