Columbus Crew vs Chicago Fire prediction & analysis
87%
Footrivo pick
Columbus Crew or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.15 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.28Odds
1
Value bet: Columbus Crew to win @ 1.88 – our chance 62% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultColumbus Crew to win ✗62% · @1.88
Double chanceColumbus Crew or draw ✓87% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗65% · @1.45
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗84% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.42
Columbus Crew vs Chicago Fire preview and prediction
The match
The Major League Soccer sees Columbus Crew take on Chicago Fire on Sunday 8 March, kicking off at 01:30 (WAT) at Lower.com Field. Columbus Crew are 7th with 47 points from 34 games (in the top half), while Chicago Fire sit 4th on 55 points (in the top four).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.5 goals: 2.4 for Columbus Crew and 1.1 for Chicago Fire. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 65% and both teams to score at 65%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Columbus Crew 62%, draw 25%, Chicago Fire 13%.
Safer route: Columbus Crew or draw (87%) at 1.28.
Both teams to score: yes (65%) at 1.45.
Value angle: Columbus Crew to win at 1.88 – 62% on our numbers against 53% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Columbus Crew or draw – a 87% chance at odds of 1.28, above our fair price of 1.15, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Columbus Crew 2–1 Chicago Fire. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Columbus Crew62%fair 1.62 · @1.88
Draw25%fair 3.96 · @3.65
Chicago Fire13%fair 7.65 · @3.80
3.49Expected goals
2.37Columbus Crew xG
1.12Chicago Fire xG
65%Both score
65%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
2–09%
1–18%
3–18%
1–07%
3–07%
From our goals model: Columbus Crew 2.4 – 1.1 Chicago Fire expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Columbus Crew to win✗
62%
1.62
1.88 ▲
Double chance
Columbus Crew or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.28 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
65%
1.54
1.45
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
84%
1.20
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
65%
1.54
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
56%
1.78
1.62
Half-time result
Columbus Crew ahead at half-time✗
49%
2.06
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Columbus Crew / FT Columbus Crew✗
43%
2.33
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.42
–
Form
Columbus Crew – last 2
DL
1 Mar
@ Sporting Kansas City
2–2
D
22 Feb
@ Portland Timbers
2–3
L
2.0Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Chicago Fire – last 2
DL
28 Feb
@ Inter Miami II
1–1
D
22 Feb
@ Houston Dynamo
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Columbus Crew and Chicago Fire.
What is the prediction for Columbus Crew vs Chicago Fire?
Our pick is Columbus Crew or draw with a 87% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Columbus Crew vs Chicago Fire?
On our numbers Columbus Crew have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Chicago Fire 13%.
How many goals will there be in Columbus Crew vs Chicago Fire?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Columbus Crew vs Chicago Fire?
Our predicted score is Columbus Crew 2–1 Chicago Fire, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Columbus Crew vs Chicago Fire?
Columbus Crew vs Chicago Fire (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Sunday 8 March 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Lower.com Field.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
San Jose Earthquakes1
Real Salt Lake3
Austin1
St. Louis City0
Seattle Sounders1
Minnesota United FC1
Sporting Kansas City0
San Diego1
Colorado Rapids4
Los Angeles Galaxy1
Los Angeles FC1
FC Dallas0