Value bet: Nashville SC to win @ 1.63 – our chance 65% vs 61% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultNashville SC to win ✓65% · @1.63
Double chanceNashville SC or draw ✓87% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.60
Nashville SC vs Minnesota United FC preview and prediction
The match
Nashville SC host Minnesota United FC in the Major League Soccer on Sunday 8 March, with kick-off at 02:30 (WAT) at Geodis Park. Nashville SC are 1st with 77 points from 34 games (top of the table), while Minnesota United FC sit 10th on 44 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 33 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Nashville SC's last 4: DWWW Most recently they drew with FC Dallas 0–0 away. They are scoring freely – 2.8 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 2.0 for Nashville SC and 0.7 for Minnesota United FC. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 58%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Nashville SC 65%, draw 22%, Minnesota United FC 13%.
Safer route: Nashville SC or draw (87%) at 1.17.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.73.
Value angle: Nashville SC to win at 1.63 – 65% on our numbers against 61% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Nashville SC 2–0 Minnesota United FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Nashville SC65%fair 1.53 · @1.63
Draw22%fair 4.54 · @3.95
Minnesota United FC13%fair 7.80 · @4.90
2.70Expected goals
1.95Nashville SC xG
0.75Minnesota United FC xG
58%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
2–013%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Nashville SC 2.0 – 0.7 Minnesota United FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Nashville SC to win✓
65%
1.53
1.63 ▲
Double chance
Nashville SC or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.74
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.89
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
69%
1.45
1.42
Half-time result
Nashville SC ahead at half-time✓
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Nashville SC / FT Nashville SC✓
42%
2.37
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.60
–
Form
Nashville SC – last 4
DWWW
1 Mar
@ FC Dallas
0–0
D
25 Feb
vs Atlético Ottawa
5–0
W
22 Feb
vs New England Revolution
4–1
W
18 Feb
@ Atlético Ottawa
2–0
W
2.8Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
25%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Minnesota United FC – last 1
D
22 Feb
@ Austin
2–2
D
2.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Nashville SC and Minnesota United FC.
What is the prediction for Nashville SC vs Minnesota United FC?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Nashville SC vs Minnesota United FC?
On our numbers Nashville SC have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Minnesota United FC 13%.
How many goals will there be in Nashville SC vs Minnesota United FC?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nashville SC vs Minnesota United FC?
Our predicted score is Nashville SC 2–0 Minnesota United FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Nashville SC vs Minnesota United FC?
Nashville SC vs Minnesota United FC (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Sunday 8 March 2026 at 02:30 (West Africa Time) at Geodis Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Columbus Crew0
Chicago Fire0
Philadelphia Union0
Atlanta United FC2
Charlotte3