Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.22
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Austin to win @ 1.90 – our chance 60% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultAustin to win60% · @1.90
Double chanceAustin or draw85% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score57% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals73% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–014% · fair 7.33
Austin vs DC United preview and prediction
The match
Austin host DC United in the Major League Soccer on Sunday 1 March, with kick-off at 20:30 (WAT) at Q2 Stadium. Austin are 14th with 34 points from 34 games (in the bottom three), while DC United sit 14th on 33 points (in the bottom three). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.8 for Austin and 0.8 for DC United. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 57%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Austin 60%, draw 25%, DC United 15%.
Safer route: Austin or draw (85%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.75.
Value angle: Austin to win at 1.90 – 60% on our numbers against 53% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Austin or draw – a 85% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.18, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Austin 1–0 DC United. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Austin60%fair 1.68 · @1.90
Draw25%fair 3.95 · @3.40
DC United15%fair 6.63 · @4.00
2.57Expected goals
1.78Austin xG
0.79DC United xG
57%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
0–08%
3–07%
From our goals model: Austin 1.8 – 0.8 DC United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Austin to win
60%
1.68
1.90 ▲
Double chance
Austin or draw
85%
1.18
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
57%
1.74
1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
72%
1.38
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
52%
1.93
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
73%
1.37
1.33
Half-time result
Austin ahead at half-time
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Austin / FT Austin
38%
2.63
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0
14%
7.33
–
Form
Austin – last 1
D
22 Feb
vs Minnesota United FC
2–2
D
2.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
DC United – last 1
W
22 Feb
vs Philadelphia Union
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Austin and DC United.
Our pick is Austin or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Austin vs DC United?
On our numbers Austin have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 25% and DC United 15%.
How many goals will there be in Austin vs DC United?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Austin vs DC United?
Our predicted score is Austin 1–0 DC United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Austin vs DC United?
Austin vs DC United (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Sunday 1 March 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time) at Q2 Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Atlanta United FC0
Columbus Crew2
Nashville SC0
Toronto FC0
Charlotte0
Philadelphia Union
New York City FC