Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
O2.5
Value bet: Over 2.5 goals @ 1.70 – our chance 65% vs 59% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultNashville SC to win ✗46% · @2.28
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗66% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗84% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.52
FC Dallas vs Nashville SC preview and prediction
The match
Nashville SC travel to Toyota Stadium in the Major League Soccer on Sunday 1 March (02:30 WAT) to face FC Dallas. FC Dallas are 2nd with 58 points from 34 games (in the top four), while Nashville SC sit 1st on 77 points (top of the table). A gap of 19 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Nashville SC's last 3: WWW Most recently they beat Atlético Ottawa 5–0 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 3.7 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.9 goals: 1.8 for FC Dallas and 2.1 for Nashville SC. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score in 66% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: FC Dallas 33%, draw 21%, Nashville SC 46%.
Both teams to score: yes (66%) at 1.55.
Value angle: Over 2.5 goals at 1.70 – 65% on our numbers against 59% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 84% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: FC Dallas 1–2 Nashville SC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
FC Dallas33%fair 3.02 · @2.95
Draw21%fair 4.79 · @3.45
Nashville SC46%fair 2.17 · @2.28
3.95Expected goals
1.81FC Dallas xG
2.14Nashville SC xG
66%Both score
65%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–28%
1–17%
2–27%
2–17%
1–36%
2–35%
From our goals model: FC Dallas 1.8 – 2.1 Nashville SC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Nashville SC to win✗
46%
2.17
2.28
Double chance
Either team to win✗
79%
1.26
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
66%
1.51
1.55
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
84%
1.20
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
65%
1.53
1.70 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
55%
1.83
1.45
Half-time result
Nashville SC ahead at half-time✗
37%
2.68
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Nashville SC / FT Nashville SC✗
29%
3.48
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.52
–
Form
FC Dallas – last 1
W
22 Feb
vs Toronto FC
3–2
W
3.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Nashville SC – last 3
WWW
25 Feb
vs Atlético Ottawa
5–0
W
22 Feb
vs New England Revolution
4–1
W
18 Feb
@ Atlético Ottawa
2–0
W
3.7Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FC Dallas and Nashville SC.
What is the prediction for FC Dallas vs Nashville SC?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win FC Dallas vs Nashville SC?
On our numbers FC Dallas have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Nashville SC 46%.
How many goals will there be in FC Dallas vs Nashville SC?
We expect about 3.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC Dallas vs Nashville SC?
Our predicted score is FC Dallas 1–2 Nashville SC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.9 goals in total.
When is FC Dallas vs Nashville SC?
FC Dallas vs Nashville SC (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Sunday 1 March 2026 at 02:30 (West Africa Time) at Toyota Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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