Sporting Kansas City vs Columbus Crew preview and prediction
The match
The Major League Soccer sees Sporting Kansas City take on Columbus Crew on Sunday 1 March, kicking off at 02:30 (WAT). Sporting Kansas City are 15th with 26 points from 34 games (in the bottom three), while Columbus Crew sit 7th on 47 points (in the top half). A gap of 21 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.6 goals: 1.1 for Sporting Kansas City and 2.6 for Columbus Crew. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 67% and both teams to score at 63%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Columbus Crew to win – a 68% chance at odds of 1.64, above our fair price of 1.47, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Sporting Kansas City 1–2 Columbus Crew. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sporting Kansas City13%fair 7.85 · @4.55
Draw19%fair 5.22 · @4.10
Columbus Crew68%fair 1.47 · @1.64
3.64Expected goals
1.08Sporting Kansas City xG
2.56Columbus Crew xG
63%Both score
67%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–29%
0–29%
1–38%
0–37%
1–17%
0–17%
From our goals model: Sporting Kansas City 1.1 – 2.6 Columbus Crew expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Columbus Crew to win✗
68%
1.47
1.64 ▲
Double chance
Columbus Crew or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
63%
1.59
1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
1.15
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
1.48
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
54%
1.86
1.65
Half-time result
Columbus Crew ahead at half-time✓
52%
1.93
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Columbus Crew / FT Columbus Crew✗
47%
2.14
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.77
–
Form
Sporting Kansas City – last 1
L
22 Feb
@ San Jose Earthquakes
0–3
L
0.0Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Columbus Crew – last 1
L
22 Feb
@ Portland Timbers
2–3
L
2.0Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sporting Kansas City and Columbus Crew.
What is the prediction for Sporting Kansas City vs Columbus Crew?
Our pick is Columbus Crew to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.64.
Who will win Sporting Kansas City vs Columbus Crew?
On our numbers Sporting Kansas City have a 13% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Columbus Crew 68%.
How many goals will there be in Sporting Kansas City vs Columbus Crew?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sporting Kansas City vs Columbus Crew?
Our predicted score is Sporting Kansas City 1–2 Columbus Crew, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is Sporting Kansas City vs Columbus Crew?
Sporting Kansas City vs Columbus Crew (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Sunday 1 March 2026 at 02:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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