Good pick · fair odds 1.47 · bookmaker 1.60 · Lost ✗
7/10Rating
1.60Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultLlanera to win ✗68% · @1.60
Double chanceLlanera or draw ✓89% · @1.11
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗62% · fair 1.63
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗17% · fair 5.95
Mosconia vs Llanera preview and prediction
The match
The Tercera División RFEF Group 2 sees Mosconia take on Llanera on Sunday 22 March, kicking off at 17:30 (WAT) at Estadio Marqués de La Vega de Anzo.
Form guide
Mosconia's last 3: WLL Most recently they beat Llanes 1–0 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Llanera's last 5: WWWDW Most recently they beat Ceares 2–0 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Llanera arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.6 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 0.6 for Mosconia and 1.8 for Llanera. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 41%, both teams to score at 38%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Mosconia 11%, draw 22%, Llanera 68%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Llanera to win – a 68% chance at odds of 1.60, above our fair price of 1.47, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Mosconia 0–1 Llanera. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Mosconia11%fair 9.47 · @5.00
Draw22%fair 4.64 · @3.50
Llanera68%fair 1.47 · @1.60
2.39Expected goals
0.56Mosconia xG
1.83Llanera xG
38%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–117%
0–215%
1–19%
0–39%
0–09%
1–29%
From our goals model: Mosconia 0.6 – 1.8 Llanera expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Llanera to win✗
68%
1.47
1.60 ▲
Double chance
Llanera or draw✓
89%
1.12
1.11
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
62%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.69
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
Half-time result
Llanera ahead at half-time✗
47%
2.13
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Llanera / FT Llanera✗
43%
2.31
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
17%
5.95
–
Form
Mosconia – last 3
WLL
8 Mar
vs Llanes
1–0
W
1 Mar
@ Sporting Gijón II
1–2
L
15 Feb
@ Colunga
0–1
L
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Llanera – last 5
WWWDW
15 Mar
vs Ceares
2–0
W
8 Mar
@ Caudal
3–0
W
1 Mar
vs Siero
1–0
W
21 Feb
@ Navarro
1–1
D
15 Feb
vs Gijón Industrial
3–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
20%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mosconia and Llanera.
Our pick is Llanera to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win Mosconia vs Llanera?
On our numbers Mosconia have a 11% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Llanera 68%.
How many goals will there be in Mosconia vs Llanera?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 38% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mosconia vs Llanera?
Our predicted score is Mosconia 0–1 Llanera, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Mosconia vs Llanera?
Mosconia vs Llanera (Tercera División RFEF Group 2) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Marqués de La Vega de Anzo.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
