Gijón Industrial vs Praviano prediction & analysis
61%
Footrivo pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.50Odds
2
Value bet: Praviano to win @ 2.75 – our chance 41% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultPraviano to win ✗41% · @2.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗55% · fair 1.81
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.20
Gijón Industrial vs Praviano preview and prediction
The match
Gijón Industrial host Praviano in the Tercera División RFEF Group 2 on Sunday 22 March, with kick-off at 12:00 (WAT) at Estadio Santa Cruz. Gijón Industrial are 6th with 17 points from 10 games (in the top half), while Praviano sit 9th on 14 points (in the top half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Gijón Industrial's last 3: WLL Most recently they beat San Martín 1–0 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
Praviano's last 5: WLWLL Most recently they beat Tuilla 3–1 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 1.6 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.1 for Gijón Industrial and 1.2 for Praviano. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 39%, both teams to score at 45%.
Value angle: Praviano to win at 2.75 – 41% on our numbers against 36% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 61% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: Gijón Industrial 1–1 Praviano. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Gijón Industrial35%fair 2.87 · @2.30
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @3.10
Praviano41%fair 2.43 · @2.75
2.30Expected goals
1.08Gijón Industrial xG
1.21Praviano xG
45%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–112%
1–011%
0–010%
1–28%
0–27%
From our goals model: Gijón Industrial 1.1 – 1.2 Praviano expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Praviano to win✗
41%
2.43
2.75 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.32
1.30
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
55%
1.81
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.16
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Praviano / FT Praviano✗
22%
4.50
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
12%
8.20
–
Form
Gijón Industrial – last 3
WLL
8 Mar
vs San Martín
1–0
W
1 Mar
@ Covadonga
0–6
L
15 Feb
@ Llanera
0–3
L
0.3Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Praviano – last 5
WLWLL
15 Mar
vs Tuilla
3–1
W
8 Mar
vs Lenense
0–1
L
1 Mar
@ San Martín
1–0
W
22 Feb
vs Covadonga
1–3
L
15 Feb
@ Avilés Stadium
0–3
L
1.0Scored / game
1.6Conceded / game
40%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gijón Industrial and Praviano.
What is the prediction for Gijón Industrial vs Praviano?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Gijón Industrial vs Praviano?
On our numbers Gijón Industrial have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Praviano 41%.
How many goals will there be in Gijón Industrial vs Praviano?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gijón Industrial vs Praviano?
Our predicted score is Gijón Industrial 1–1 Praviano, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Gijón Industrial vs Praviano?
Gijón Industrial vs Praviano (Tercera División RFEF Group 2) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Santa Cruz.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Llanera1