Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: L'Entregu to win @ 1.85 – our chance 58% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultL'Entregu to win ✓58% · @1.85
Double chanceL'Entregu or draw ✓81% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗55% · fair 1.82
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.78
L'Entregu vs Llanes preview and prediction
The match
L'Entregu host Llanes in the Tercera División RFEF Group 2 on Sunday 22 March, with kick-off at 17:30 (WAT) at Estadio Nuevo Nalón. L'Entregu are 17th with 5 points from 10 games (in the bottom three), while Llanes sit 14th on 10 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
L'Entregu's last 4: LWDW Most recently they lost to Sporting Gijón II 0–2 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.6 for L'Entregu and 0.8 for Llanes. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 45%.
Betting angles
Win chances: L'Entregu 58%, draw 23%, Llanes 19%.
Safer route: L'Entregu or draw (81%) at 1.22.
Value angle: L'Entregu to win at 1.85 – 58% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was L'Entregu or draw – a 81% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: L'Entregu 1–0 Llanes. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
L'Entregu58%fair 1.72 · @1.85
Draw23%fair 4.28 · @3.30
Llanes19%fair 5.40 · @3.70
2.40Expected goals
1.62L'Entregu xG
0.78Llanes xG
45%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–012%
1–111%
2–19%
0–09%
0–17%
From our goals model: L'Entregu 1.6 – 0.8 Llanes expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
L'Entregu to win✓
58%
1.72
1.85 ▲
Double chance
L'Entregu or draw✓
81%
1.23
1.22
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
55%
1.82
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.75
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
78%
1.28
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT L'Entregu / FT L'Entregu✗
35%
2.85
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.78
–
Form
L'Entregu – last 4
LWDW
15 Mar
@ Sporting Gijón II
0–2
L
8 Mar
@ Tuilla
1–0
W
1 Mar
vs Colunga
0–0
D
15 Feb
vs Ceares
2–1
W
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
25%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Llanes – last 2
LD
8 Mar
@ Mosconia
0–1
L
15 Feb
vs Siero
2–2
D
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between L'Entregu and Llanes.
Our pick is L'Entregu or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win L'Entregu vs Llanes?
On our numbers L'Entregu have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Llanes 19%.
How many goals will there be in L'Entregu vs Llanes?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for L'Entregu vs Llanes?
Our predicted score is L'Entregu 1–0 Llanes, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is L'Entregu vs Llanes?
L'Entregu vs Llanes (Tercera División RFEF Group 2) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Nuevo Nalón.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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