Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · fair 1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 9.11
Estradense vs Arosa preview and prediction
The match
The Tercera División RFEF Group 1 sees Estradense take on Arosa on Sunday 5 April, kicking off at 18:00 (WAT) at Campo Municipal do Concello da Estrada.
Form guide
Estradense's last 5: WWWDL Most recently they beat CD Lugo B 1–0 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Arosa's last 5: DWWWD Most recently they drew with Villalbés 1–1 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Arosa arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.2 for Estradense and 1.3 for Arosa. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 48%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Estradense 35%, draw 24%, Arosa 42%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 56% chance at odds of 1.65. Predicted score: Estradense 1–1 Arosa. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Estradense35%fair 2.89 · @2.45
Draw24%fair 4.20 · @3.20
Arosa42%fair 2.41 · @2.55
2.48Expected goals
1.17Estradense xG
1.31Arosa xG
48%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–111%
1–010%
1–28%
0–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Estradense 1.2 – 1.3 Arosa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Arosa to win✗
42%
2.41
2.55 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.31
1.28
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
52%
1.91
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.79
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Arosa / FT Arosa✗
23%
4.33
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
11%
9.11
–
Form
Estradense – last 6
WWWDLL
2 Apr
vs CD Lugo B
1–0
W
19 Mar
@ Villalbés
2–0
W
15 Mar
vs Barbadás
3–2
W
8 Mar
@ Alondras
2–2
D
22 Feb
@ Celta de Vigo III
1–2
L
18 Feb
@ Celtiga
1–2
L
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Arosa – last 6
DWWWDW
2 Apr
vs Villalbés
1–1
D
29 Mar
vs Somozas
1–0
W
22 Mar
@ Coruña
1–0
W
18 Mar
vs Viveiro
4–1
W
15 Mar
vs Atlético Arteixo
2–2
D
8 Mar
@ Noia
1–0
W
1.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Estradense and Arosa.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Estradense vs Arosa?
On our numbers Estradense have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Arosa 42%.
How many goals will there be in Estradense vs Arosa?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Estradense vs Arosa?
Our predicted score is Estradense 1–1 Arosa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Estradense vs Arosa?
Estradense vs Arosa (Tercera División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Sunday 5 April 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Campo Municipal do Concello da Estrada.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Compostela0
CD Lugo B1
Noia0