Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
2
Value bet: Villalbés to win @ 3.40 – our chance 32% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultBoiro to win ✗46% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓56% · fair 1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.78
Boiro vs Villalbés preview and prediction
The match
Villalbés travel to Campo Municipal de Barraña in the Tercera División RFEF Group 1 on Sunday 5 April (17:00 WAT) to face Boiro. Boiro are 1st with 23 points from 10 games (top of the table), while Villalbés sit 9th on 14 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Boiro's last 5: DWWDD Most recently they drew with Celtiga 1–1 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 0.7 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.2 for Boiro and 0.9 for Villalbés. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 64% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Boiro 46%, draw 22%, Villalbés 32%.
Value angle: Villalbés to win at 3.40 – 32% on our numbers against 29% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 64% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: Boiro 1–0 Villalbés. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Boiro46%fair 2.20 · @2.00
Draw22%fair 4.52 · @3.10
Villalbés32%fair 3.09 · @3.40
2.06Expected goals
1.16Boiro xG
0.90Villalbés xG
44%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
1–113%
0–013%
0–111%
2–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: Boiro 1.2 – 0.9 Villalbés expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Boiro to win✗
46%
2.20
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.28
1.28
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
56%
1.80
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
49%
2.04
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Boiro / FT Boiro✗
24%
4.23
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.78
–
Form
Boiro – last 6
DWWDDD
2 Apr
vs Celtiga
1–1
D
29 Mar
@ Barbadás
2–1
W
22 Mar
vs Alondras
1–0
W
19 Mar
@ Polvorín
1–1
D
8 Mar
@ Silva
1–1
D
22 Feb
@ Cambados
0–0
D
1.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Villalbés – last 2
DL
2 Apr
@ Arosa
1–1
D
19 Mar
vs Estradense
0–2
L
0.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Boiro and Villalbés.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Boiro vs Villalbés?
On our numbers Boiro have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Villalbés 32%.
How many goals will there be in Boiro vs Villalbés?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Boiro vs Villalbés?
Our predicted score is Boiro 1–0 Villalbés, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Boiro vs Villalbés?
Boiro vs Villalbés (Tercera División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Sunday 5 April 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Campo Municipal de Barraña.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Compostela0
CD Lugo B1
Noia0
Arosa1