Good pick · fair odds 1.66 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.50Odds
1
Value bet: Silva to win @ 2.85 – our chance 39% vs 35% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSilva to win ✗39% · @2.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓56% · fair 1.78
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.25
Silva vs CD Lugo B preview and prediction
The match
Silva host CD Lugo B in the Tercera División RFEF Group 1 on Sunday 5 April, with kick-off at 11:30 (WAT) at Campo Municipal de Fútbol Rodrigo García Vizoso.
Form guide
Silva's last 5: DDWDD Most recently they drew with Barco 3–3 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded.
CD Lugo B's last 5: LWDLW Most recently they lost to Estradense 0–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.2 for Silva and 1.1 for CD Lugo B. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 40%, both teams to score at 44%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Silva 39%, draw 25%, CD Lugo B 36%.
Value angle: Silva to win at 2.85 – 39% on our numbers against 35% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 60% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: Silva 1–1 CD Lugo B. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Silva39%fair 2.58 · @2.85
Draw25%fair 3.95 · @2.95
CD Lugo B36%fair 2.79 · @2.33
2.26Expected goals
1.16Silva xG
1.10CD Lugo B xG
44%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–012%
0–112%
0–010%
2–18%
1–27%
From our goals model: Silva 1.2 – 1.1 CD Lugo B expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Silva to win✗
39%
2.58
2.85 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.34
1.28
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
56%
1.78
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.66
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Silva / FT Silva✗
21%
4.76
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.25
–
Form
Silva – last 6
DDWDDW
2 Apr
@ Barco
3–3
D
22 Mar
@ Viveiro
0–0
D
19 Mar
vs Celtiga
1–0
W
15 Mar
@ Cambados
1–1
D
8 Mar
vs Boiro
1–1
D
22 Feb
vs Compostela
2–1
W
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
CD Lugo B – last 6
LWDLWD
2 Apr
@ Estradense
0–1
L
22 Mar
@ Cambados
1–0
W
19 Mar
vs Boiro
1–1
D
15 Mar
@ Barco
0–1
L
8 Mar
vs Compostela
1–0
W
22 Feb
vs Somozas
2–2
D
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Silva and CD Lugo B.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Silva vs CD Lugo B?
On our numbers Silva have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 25% and CD Lugo B 36%.
How many goals will there be in Silva vs CD Lugo B?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Silva vs CD Lugo B?
Our predicted score is Silva 1–1 CD Lugo B, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Silva vs CD Lugo B?
Silva vs CD Lugo B (Tercera División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Sunday 5 April 2026 at 11:30 (West Africa Time) at Campo Municipal de Fútbol Rodrigo García Vizoso.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Compostela0
Noia0
Arosa1