Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓
7/10Rating
1.57Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultBarco to win ✓68% · @1.57
Double chanceBarco or draw ✓91% · @1.10
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓59% · fair 1.69
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓18% · fair 5.47
Barco vs Noia preview and prediction
The match
Barco host Noia in the Tercera División RFEF Group 1 on Sunday 5 April, with kick-off at 16:30 (WAT) at Campo de Fútbol Municipal de Calabagueiros.
Form guide
Barco's last 5: DWWWL Most recently they drew with Silva 3–3 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.4 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Noia's last 4: LLLL Most recently they lost to Atlético Arteixo 0–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.0 per game.
Barco arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 0.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.8 for Barco and 0.5 for Noia. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 40%, both teams to score at 41%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Barco 68%, draw 23%, Noia 9%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Barco to win – a 68% chance at odds of 1.57, above our fair price of 1.48, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Barco 1–0 Noia. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Barco68%fair 1.48 · @1.57
Draw23%fair 4.34 · @3.40
Noia9%fair 10.74 · @5.50
2.27Expected goals
1.76Barco xG
0.50Noia xG
41%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–018%
2–016%
0–010%
3–09%
1–19%
2–18%
From our goals model: Barco 1.8 – 0.5 Noia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Barco to win✓
68%
1.48
1.57 ▲
Double chance
Barco or draw✓
91%
1.10
1.10
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
59%
1.69
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.67
1.60
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
–
Half-time result
Barco ahead at half-time✗
47%
2.15
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Barco / FT Barco✗
43%
2.32
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
18%
5.47
–
Form
Barco – last 5
DWWWL
2 Apr
vs Silva
3–3
D
22 Mar
vs Barbadás
2–0
W
19 Mar
@ Alondras
1–0
W
15 Mar
vs Polvorín
1–0
W
8 Mar
@ Celta de Vigo III
2–4
L
1.8Scored / game
1.4Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Noia – last 4
LLLL
2 Apr
@ Atlético Arteixo
0–1
L
19 Mar
vs Somozas
0–1
L
15 Mar
@ Coruña
0–3
L
8 Mar
vs Arosa
0–1
L
0.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Barco and Noia.
Our pick is Barco to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Barco vs Noia?
On our numbers Barco have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Noia 9%.
How many goals will there be in Barco vs Noia?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 41% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Barco vs Noia?
Our predicted score is Barco 1–0 Noia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Barco vs Noia?
Barco vs Noia (Tercera División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Sunday 5 April 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Campo de Fútbol Municipal de Calabagueiros.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Compostela0
CD Lugo B1
Arosa1