Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓50% · fair 1.99
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.49
Celtiga vs Alondras preview and prediction
The match
The Tercera División RFEF Group 1 sees Celtiga take on Alondras on Sunday 5 April, kicking off at 17:00 (WAT) at Estadio Salvador Otero. Celtiga are 14th with 11 points from 10 games (in the bottom half), while Alondras sit 12th on 12 points (in the bottom half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Celtiga's last 5: DLWWL Most recently they drew with Boiro 1–1 away. They average 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Alondras's last 5: LDLLD Most recently they lost to Somozas 1–2 away. They average 1.5 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Celtiga arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.4 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.5 for Celtiga and 1.0 for Alondras. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 50%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Celtiga 51%, draw 21%, Alondras 28%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 56% chance at odds of 1.62. Predicted score: Celtiga 1–1 Alondras. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Celtiga51%fair 1.98 · @2.00
Draw21%fair 4.76 · @3.25
Alondras28%fair 3.51 · @3.25
2.55Expected goals
1.51Celtiga xG
1.04Alondras xG
50%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–012%
2–19%
2–09%
0–18%
0–08%
From our goals model: Celtiga 1.5 – 1.0 Alondras expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Celtiga to win✗
51%
1.98
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.25
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
50%
1.99
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
72%
1.38
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.80
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Celtiga / FT Celtiga✗
29%
3.48
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.49
–
Form
Celtiga – last 5
DLWWL
2 Apr
@ Boiro
1–1
D
19 Mar
@ Silva
0–1
L
8 Mar
vs Cambados
2–0
W
18 Feb
vs Estradense
2–1
W
15 Feb
@ Compostela
1–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
60%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Alondras – last 6
LDLLDW
2 Apr
@ Somozas
1–2
L
29 Mar
vs Cambados
3–3
D
22 Mar
@ Boiro
0–1
L
19 Mar
vs Barco
0–1
L
8 Mar
vs Estradense
2–2
D
22 Feb
vs Coruña
3–2
W
1.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Celtiga and Alondras.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Celtiga vs Alondras?
On our numbers Celtiga have a 51% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Alondras 28%.
How many goals will there be in Celtiga vs Alondras?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Celtiga vs Alondras?
Our predicted score is Celtiga 1–1 Alondras, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Celtiga vs Alondras?
Celtiga vs Alondras (Tercera División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Sunday 5 April 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Salvador Otero.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Compostela0
CD Lugo B1
Noia0
Arosa1