Tau Altopascio vs Orvietana Calcio prediction & analysis
85%
Footrivo pick
Tau Altopascio or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Tau Altopascio to win @ 1.85 – our chance 60% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultTau Altopascio to win ✓60% · @1.85
Double chanceTau Altopascio or draw ✓85% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗57% · fair 1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.36
Tau Altopascio vs Orvietana Calcio preview and prediction
The match
Orvietana Calcio travel to Stadio Comunale Altopascio in the Serie D Girone E on Sunday 22 March (14:30 WAT) to face Tau Altopascio.
Form guide
Tau Altopascio's last 4: LLDL Most recently they lost to Montevarchi Calcio 0–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.0 per game.
Orvietana Calcio's last 3: DWL Most recently they drew with Sporting Trestina 1–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Orvietana Calcio arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.7 for Tau Altopascio and 0.7 for Orvietana Calcio. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 43%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Tau Altopascio 60%, draw 26%, Orvietana Calcio 15%.
Safer route: Tau Altopascio or draw (85%) at 1.22.
Value angle: Tau Altopascio to win at 1.85 – 60% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Tau Altopascio or draw – a 85% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.17, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Tau Altopascio 1–0 Orvietana Calcio. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Tau Altopascio60%fair 1.68 · @1.85
Draw26%fair 3.90 · @3.40
Orvietana Calcio15%fair 6.72 · @3.70
2.35Expected goals
1.65Tau Altopascio xG
0.70Orvietana Calcio xG
43%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–013%
1–111%
0–010%
2–19%
3–07%
From our goals model: Tau Altopascio 1.7 – 0.7 Orvietana Calcio expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tau Altopascio to win✓
60%
1.68
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Tau Altopascio or draw✓
85%
1.17
1.22
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
57%
1.75
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.73
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Tau Altopascio / FT Tau Altopascio✗
37%
2.69
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.36
–
Form
Tau Altopascio – last 4
LLDL
15 Mar
@ Montevarchi Calcio
0–1
L
1 Mar
vs Sporting Trestina
0–1
L
22 Feb
@ Seravezza
0–0
D
15 Feb
vs Grosseto
0–1
L
0.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Orvietana Calcio – last 3
DWL
15 Mar
@ Sporting Trestina
1–1
D
22 Feb
@ Grosseto
1–0
W
15 Feb
vs Montevarchi Calcio
0–1
L
0.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tau Altopascio and Orvietana Calcio.
What is the prediction for Tau Altopascio vs Orvietana Calcio?
Our pick is Tau Altopascio or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Tau Altopascio vs Orvietana Calcio?
On our numbers Tau Altopascio have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Orvietana Calcio 15%.
How many goals will there be in Tau Altopascio vs Orvietana Calcio?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tau Altopascio vs Orvietana Calcio?
Our predicted score is Tau Altopascio 1–0 Orvietana Calcio, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Tau Altopascio vs Orvietana Calcio?
Tau Altopascio vs Orvietana Calcio (Serie D Girone E) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Comunale Altopascio.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Foligno Calcio2
Sansepolcro1
Poggibonsi1
Sporting Trestina2
Grosseto1
Camaiore1