Prato vs San Donato Tavarnelle prediction & analysis
59%
Footrivo pick
Prato to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.69 · bookmaker 1.70 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.70Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultPrato to win ✓59% · @1.70
Double chancePrato or draw ✓80% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓56% · fair 1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓15% · fair 6.48
Prato vs San Donato Tavarnelle preview and prediction
The match
The Serie D Girone E sees Prato take on San Donato Tavarnelle on Sunday 22 March, kicking off at 14:30 (WAT) at Stadio Lungobisenzio. Prato are 1st with 25 points from 11 games (top of the table), while San Donato Tavarnelle sit 12th on 14 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Prato's last 3: DWD Most recently they drew with Robur Siena 3–3 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
San Donato Tavarnelle's last 4: LDLD Most recently they lost to Terranuova Traiana 0–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Prato arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.6 for Prato and 0.8 for San Donato Tavarnelle. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 44%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Prato 59%, draw 21%, San Donato Tavarnelle 20%.
Safer route: Prato or draw (80%) at 1.17.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Prato to win – a 59% chance at odds of 1.70. Predicted score: Prato 1–0 San Donato Tavarnelle. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Prato59%fair 1.69 · @1.70
Draw21%fair 4.87 · @3.40
San Donato Tavarnelle20%fair 4.88 · @4.20
2.31Expected goals
1.56Prato xG
0.75San Donato Tavarnelle xG
44%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–012%
1–112%
0–010%
2–19%
0–17%
From our goals model: Prato 1.6 – 0.8 San Donato Tavarnelle expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Prato to win✓
59%
1.69
1.70
Double chance
Prato or draw✓
80%
1.26
1.17
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
56%
1.80
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.73
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.26
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Prato / FT Prato✗
34%
2.91
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
15%
6.48
–
Form
Prato – last 3
DWD
15 Mar
vs Robur Siena
3–3
D
22 Feb
vs Terranuova Traiana
1–0
W
15 Feb
@ Sansepolcro
0–0
D
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
San Donato Tavarnelle – last 4
LDLD
15 Mar
vs Terranuova Traiana
0–1
L
1 Mar
@ Sansepolcro
1–1
D
22 Feb
vs Poggibonsi
0–1
L
15 Feb
@ Gavorrano
1–1
D
0.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Prato and San Donato Tavarnelle.
What is the prediction for Prato vs San Donato Tavarnelle?
Our pick is Prato to win with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Prato vs San Donato Tavarnelle?
On our numbers Prato have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 21% and San Donato Tavarnelle 20%.
How many goals will there be in Prato vs San Donato Tavarnelle?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Prato vs San Donato Tavarnelle?
Our predicted score is Prato 1–0 San Donato Tavarnelle, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Prato vs San Donato Tavarnelle?
Prato vs San Donato Tavarnelle (Serie D Girone E) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Lungobisenzio.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Foligno Calcio2
Sansepolcro1
Poggibonsi1
Sporting Trestina2
Grosseto1
Camaiore1
Orvietana Calcio1