Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗50% · @1.87
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 8.76
Poggibonsi vs Sporting Trestina preview and prediction
The match
Poggibonsi host Sporting Trestina in the Serie D Girone E on Sunday 22 March, with kick-off at 14:30 (WAT) at Stadio Stefano Lotti.
Form guide
Poggibonsi's last 4: DLWW Most recently they drew with Seravezza 2–2 away. They average 1.0 scored and 0.8 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Sporting Trestina's last 4: DWWW Most recently they drew with Orvietana Calcio 1–1 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Sporting Trestina arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 1.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.2 for Poggibonsi and 1.2 for Sporting Trestina. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 50%.
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.21. Predicted score: Poggibonsi 1–1 Sporting Trestina. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Poggibonsi39%fair 2.55 · @2.55
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @3.15
Sporting Trestina37%fair 2.72 · @2.55
2.36Expected goals
1.20Poggibonsi xG
1.15Sporting Trestina xG
50%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–111%
0–09%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: Poggibonsi 1.2 – 1.2 Sporting Trestina expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Poggibonsi to win✗
39%
2.55
2.55
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
50%
1.99
1.87
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.74
1.61
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
1.21
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Poggibonsi / FT Poggibonsi✗
21%
4.72
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
8.76
–
Form
Poggibonsi – last 4
DLWW
15 Mar
@ Seravezza
2–2
D
1 Mar
vs Grosseto
0–1
L
22 Feb
@ San Donato Tavarnelle
1–0
W
15 Feb
vs Foligno Calcio
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
25%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Sporting Trestina – last 4
DWWW
15 Mar
vs Orvietana Calcio
1–1
D
1 Mar
@ Tau Altopascio
1–0
W
21 Feb
vs Cannara
2–1
W
15 Feb
@ Camaiore
2–1
W
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
75%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Poggibonsi and Sporting Trestina.
What is the prediction for Poggibonsi vs Sporting Trestina?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.21.
Who will win Poggibonsi vs Sporting Trestina?
On our numbers Poggibonsi have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Sporting Trestina 37%.
How many goals will there be in Poggibonsi vs Sporting Trestina?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Poggibonsi vs Sporting Trestina?
Our predicted score is Poggibonsi 1–1 Sporting Trestina, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Poggibonsi vs Sporting Trestina?
Poggibonsi vs Sporting Trestina (Serie D Girone E) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Stefano Lotti.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Gavorrano0
Montevarchi Calcio0
Robur Siena3
Foligno Calcio2
Prato1
San Donato Tavarnelle0
Sansepolcro1
Seravezza1
Terranuova Traiana0
Grosseto1
Scandicci2
Camaiore1
Tau Altopascio2
Orvietana Calcio1