Value bet: Grosseto to win @ 1.91 – our chance 62% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultGrosseto to win ✓62% · @1.91
Double chanceGrosseto or draw ✓88% · fair 1.13
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · @1.88
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓17% · fair 5.83
Terranuova Traiana vs Grosseto preview and prediction
The match
Grosseto travel to Stadio Comunale Mario Matteini in the Serie D Girone E on Sunday 22 March (14:30 WAT) to face Terranuova Traiana.
Form guide
Terranuova Traiana's last 4: WWLD Most recently they beat San Donato Tavarnelle 1–0 away. They average 1.0 scored and 0.5 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Grosseto's last 4: DWLW Most recently they drew with Scandicci 1–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 0.6 for Terranuova Traiana and 1.7 for Grosseto. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 46%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Value angle: Grosseto to win at 1.91 – 62% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Terranuova Traiana 0–1 Grosseto. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Terranuova Traiana12%fair 8.57 · @4.06
Draw26%fair 3.83 · @3.10
Grosseto62%fair 1.61 · @1.91
2.28Expected goals
0.60Terranuova Traiana xG
1.68Grosseto xG
46%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–117%
0–214%
1–110%
0–010%
1–29%
0–38%
From our goals model: Terranuova Traiana 0.6 – 1.7 Grosseto expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Grosseto to win✓
62%
1.61
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Grosseto or draw✓
88%
1.13
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
54%
1.86
1.88
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
68%
1.48
1.32
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.74
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Grosseto / FT Grosseto✓
40%
2.53
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✓
17%
5.83
–
Form
Terranuova Traiana – last 4
WWLD
15 Mar
@ San Donato Tavarnelle
1–0
W
1 Mar
vs Foligno Calcio
2–0
W
22 Feb
@ Prato
0–1
L
15 Feb
vs Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
25%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Grosseto – last 4
DWLW
15 Mar
vs Scandicci
1–1
D
1 Mar
@ Poggibonsi
1–0
W
22 Feb
vs Orvietana Calcio
0–1
L
15 Feb
@ Tau Altopascio
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
25%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Terranuova Traiana and Grosseto.
What is the prediction for Terranuova Traiana vs Grosseto?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Terranuova Traiana vs Grosseto?
On our numbers Terranuova Traiana have a 12% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Grosseto 62%.
How many goals will there be in Terranuova Traiana vs Grosseto?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Terranuova Traiana vs Grosseto?
Our predicted score is Terranuova Traiana 0–1 Grosseto, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Terranuova Traiana vs Grosseto?
Terranuova Traiana vs Grosseto (Serie D Girone E) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Comunale Mario Matteini.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Foligno Calcio2
Sansepolcro1
Poggibonsi1
Sporting Trestina2
Camaiore1
Orvietana Calcio1