Gavorrano vs Montevarchi Calcio prediction & analysis
60%
Footrivo pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.66 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.53Odds
2
Value bet: Montevarchi Calcio to win @ 2.88 – our chance 41% vs 35% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultMontevarchi Calcio to win ✗41% · @2.88
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓56% · fair 1.78
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.24
Gavorrano vs Montevarchi Calcio preview and prediction
The match
Montevarchi Calcio travel to Stadio Romeo Malservisi in the Serie D Girone E on Sunday 22 March (14:30 WAT) to face Gavorrano. Gavorrano are 4th with 21 points from 11 games (in the top four), while Montevarchi Calcio sit 9th on 16 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Gavorrano's last 3: LDD Most recently they lost to Foligno Calcio 0–2 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Montevarchi Calcio's last 4: WDWW Most recently they beat Tau Altopascio 1–0 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 0.3 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Montevarchi Calcio arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.1 for Gavorrano and 1.2 for Montevarchi Calcio. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 40%, both teams to score at 44%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Gavorrano 35%, draw 24%, Montevarchi Calcio 41%.
Value angle: Montevarchi Calcio to win at 2.88 – 41% on our numbers against 35% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 60% chance at odds of 1.53. Predicted score: Gavorrano 1–1 Montevarchi Calcio. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Gavorrano35%fair 2.84 · @2.25
Draw24%fair 4.14 · @3.10
Montevarchi Calcio41%fair 2.46 · @2.88
2.29Expected goals
1.09Gavorrano xG
1.20Montevarchi Calcio xG
44%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–112%
1–011%
0–010%
1–28%
0–27%
From our goals model: Gavorrano 1.1 – 1.2 Montevarchi Calcio expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Montevarchi Calcio to win✗
41%
2.46
2.88 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.32
1.28
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
56%
1.78
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.66
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.16
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Montevarchi Calcio / FT Montevarchi Calcio✗
22%
4.56
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
12%
8.24
–
Form
Gavorrano – last 3
LDD
15 Mar
@ Foligno Calcio
0–2
L
1 Mar
vs Seravezza
1–1
D
15 Feb
vs San Donato Tavarnelle
1–1
D
0.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Montevarchi Calcio – last 4
WDWW
15 Mar
vs Tau Altopascio
1–0
W
1 Mar
@ Scandicci
1–1
D
22 Feb
vs Camaiore
2–0
W
15 Feb
@ Orvietana Calcio
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
25%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gavorrano and Montevarchi Calcio.
What is the prediction for Gavorrano vs Montevarchi Calcio?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Gavorrano vs Montevarchi Calcio?
On our numbers Gavorrano have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Montevarchi Calcio 41%.
How many goals will there be in Gavorrano vs Montevarchi Calcio?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gavorrano vs Montevarchi Calcio?
Our predicted score is Gavorrano 1–1 Montevarchi Calcio, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Gavorrano vs Montevarchi Calcio?
Gavorrano vs Montevarchi Calcio (Serie D Girone E) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Romeo Malservisi.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Foligno Calcio2
Sansepolcro1
Poggibonsi1
Sporting Trestina2
Grosseto1
Camaiore1
Orvietana Calcio1