Cavese travel to Stadio Ezio Scida in the Serie C Girone C on Thursday 5 March (20:30 WAT) to face Crotone. Crotone are 20th with 1 points from 13 games (in the bottom three), while Cavese sit 11th on 16 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 15 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.5 for Crotone and 1.1 for Cavese. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 55%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Crotone 55%, draw 25%, Cavese 21%.
Safer route: Crotone or draw (79%) at 1.13.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.85.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Crotone 1–1 Cavese. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Crotone55%fair 1.83 · @1.62
Draw25%fair 4.08 · @3.60
Cavese21%fair 4.76 · @4.80
2.68Expected goals
1.54Crotone xG
1.14Cavese xG
55%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
2–08%
0–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: Crotone 1.5 – 1.1 Cavese expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Footrivo team ratings
Crotone
Cavese
Attack vs Serie C Girone C average
-16%
+22%
Goals conceded vs average
+11%
+19%
Our expected goals here
1.56
1.48
Our own ratings from every Serie C Girone C result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Crotone to win✓
55%
1.83
1.62
Double chance
Crotone or draw✓
79%
1.27
1.13
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.83
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.97
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.30
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.37
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Crotone / FT Crotone✓
28%
3.58
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.77
–
Form
Crotone – last 2
DW
1 Mar
@ SS Monopoli
1–1
D
22 Feb
vs Foggia
3–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Cavese – last 1
L
21 Feb
@ Trapani 1905
0–2
L
0.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Crotone and Cavese.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Crotone vs Cavese?
On our numbers Crotone have a 55% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Cavese 21%.
How many goals will there be in Crotone vs Cavese?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Crotone vs Cavese?
Our predicted score is Crotone 1–1 Cavese, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Crotone vs Cavese?
Crotone vs Cavese (Serie C Girone C) kicks off on Thursday 5 March 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Ezio Scida.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Latina2
Siracusa1
Atalanta II1
Trapani 19052
Benevento2