The Serie C Girone C sees Latina take on Sorrento on Thursday 5 March, kicking off at 18:00 (WAT) at Stadio Domenico Francioni.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.3 for Latina and 1.0 for Sorrento. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 40%, both teams to score at 51%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Latina 41%, draw 26%, Sorrento 32%.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 2.00.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 51% chance at odds of 2.00, above our fair price of 1.95, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Latina 1–1 Sorrento. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Latina41%fair 2.41 · @2.15
Draw26%fair 3.80 · @2.90
Sorrento32%fair 3.10 · @3.10
2.27Expected goals
1.27Latina xG
1.00Sorrento xG
51%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–013%
0–110%
0–010%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: Latina 1.3 – 1.0 Sorrento expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Footrivo team ratings
Latina
Sorrento
Attack vs Serie C Girone C average
-8%
-7%
Goals conceded vs average
-2%
-4%
Our expected goals here
1.37
1.01
Our own ratings from every Serie C Girone C result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Latina to win✓
41%
2.41
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.36
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.95
2.00
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.24
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.15
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Latina / FT Latina✓
25%
4.08
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.00
–
Form
Latina – last 2
DL
1 Mar
@ Giugliano
1–1
D
21 Feb
vs Potenza
0–1
L
0.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Sorrento – last 2
LW
1 Mar
@ Cosenza
2–3
L
22 Feb
vs Siracusa
2–0
W
2.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Latina and Sorrento.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.00.
Who will win Latina vs Sorrento?
On our numbers Latina have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Sorrento 32%.
How many goals will there be in Latina vs Sorrento?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Latina vs Sorrento?
Our predicted score is Latina 1–1 Sorrento, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Latina vs Sorrento?
Latina vs Sorrento (Serie C Girone C) kicks off on Thursday 5 March 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Domenico Francioni.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Siracusa1
Atalanta II1
Trapani 19052
Benevento2