Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.44 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
1
Value bet: Casertana to win @ 3.25 – our chance 36% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultCasertana to win ✓36% · @3.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓72% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.70
Casertana vs Salernitana preview and prediction
The match
Salernitana travel to Stadio Alberto Pinto in the Serie C Girone C on Thursday 5 March (20:30 WAT) to face Casertana. Casertana are 8th with 20 points from 13 games (in the top half), while Salernitana sit 14th on 15 points (in the bottom half).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.3 for Casertana and 1.0 for Salernitana. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 40%, both teams to score at 52%.
Value angle: Casertana to win at 3.25 – 36% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 66% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Casertana 1–1 Salernitana. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Casertana36%fair 2.75 · @3.25
Draw28%fair 3.55 · @3.00
Salernitana36%fair 2.81 · @2.15
2.30Expected goals
1.32Casertana xG
0.98Salernitana xG
52%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
1–113%
0–010%
0–110%
2–09%
2–19%
From our goals model: Casertana 1.3 – 1.0 Salernitana expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Footrivo team ratings
Casertana
Salernitana
Attack vs Serie C Girone C average
-6%
-20%
Goals conceded vs average
-13%
-6%
Our expected goals here
1.37
0.76
Our own ratings from every Serie C Girone C result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Casertana to win✓
36%
2.75
3.25 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
72%
1.39
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.91
1.95
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
66%
1.52
1.44
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.67
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.26
1.18
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Casertana / FT Casertana✓
26%
3.88
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.70
–
Form
Casertana – last 1
L
1 Mar
@ Siracusa
0–4
L
0.0Scored / game
4.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Salernitana – last 2
DL
1 Mar
vs Catania
0–0
D
22 Feb
vs SS Monopoli
0–1
L
0.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Casertana and Salernitana.
What is the prediction for Casertana vs Salernitana?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Casertana vs Salernitana?
On our numbers Casertana have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Salernitana 36%.
How many goals will there be in Casertana vs Salernitana?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Casertana vs Salernitana?
Our predicted score is Casertana 1–1 Salernitana, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Casertana vs Salernitana?
Casertana vs Salernitana (Serie C Girone C) kicks off on Thursday 5 March 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Alberto Pinto.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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