Value bet: Potenza to win @ 2.85 – our chance 49% vs 35% implied by the price (edge +41%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultPotenza to win ✗49% · @2.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.07
Potenza vs Cosenza preview and prediction
The match
The Serie C Girone C sees Potenza take on Cosenza on Thursday 5 March, kicking off at 20:30 (WAT) at Stadio Comunale Alfredo Viviani. Potenza are 1st with 32 points from 13 games (top of the table), while Cosenza sit 19th on 10 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 22 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Potenza's last 3: LWW Most recently they lost to Benevento 0–1 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 0.3 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 2.1 for Potenza and 1.0 for Cosenza. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 54% and both teams to score at 58%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Potenza 49%, draw 21%, Cosenza 30%.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.70.
Value angle: Potenza to win at 2.85 – 49% on our numbers against 35% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.33. Predicted score: Potenza 2–1 Cosenza. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Potenza49%fair 2.02 · @2.85
Draw21%fair 4.85 · @3.20
Cosenza30%fair 3.34 · @2.33
3.14Expected goals
2.09Potenza xG
1.04Cosenza xG
58%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
2–010%
1–19%
1–09%
3–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: Potenza 2.1 – 1.0 Cosenza expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Footrivo team ratings
Potenza
Cosenza
Attack vs Serie C Girone C average
+76%
-24%
Goals conceded vs average
+12%
+8%
Our expected goals here
2.98
0.93
Our own ratings from every Serie C Girone C result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Potenza to win✗
49%
2.02
2.85 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.73
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
1.95 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
67%
1.49
1.28
Half-time result
Potenza ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Potenza / FT Potenza✗
39%
2.54
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.07
–
Form
Potenza – last 3
LWW
1 Mar
vs Benevento
0–1
L
21 Feb
@ Latina
1–0
W
15 Feb
vs Team Altamura
3–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
0%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Cosenza – last 2
WD
1 Mar
vs Sorrento
3–2
W
22 Feb
@ Atalanta II
0–0
D
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Potenza and Cosenza.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Potenza vs Cosenza?
On our numbers Potenza have a 49% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Cosenza 30%.
How many goals will there be in Potenza vs Cosenza?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Potenza vs Cosenza?
Our predicted score is Potenza 2–1 Cosenza, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Potenza vs Cosenza?
Potenza vs Cosenza (Serie C Girone C) kicks off on Thursday 5 March 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Comunale Alfredo Viviani.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Latina2
Siracusa1
Atalanta II1
Trapani 19052
Benevento2