Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 54% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultBenevento to win ✓37% · @2.33
Double chanceEither team to win ✓70% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓8% · fair 12.82
Benevento vs Catania preview and prediction
The match
Catania travel to Stadio Ciro Vigorito in the Serie C Girone C on Thursday 5 March (20:30 WAT) to face Benevento.
Form guide
Catania's last 3: DWW Most recently they drew with Salernitana 0–0 away. They average 1.7 scored and 0.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.2 for Benevento and 1.1 for Catania. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 39%, both teams to score at 54%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Benevento 37%, draw 30%, Catania 33%.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 2.00.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.00 – 54% on our numbers against 50% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 65% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: Benevento 1–1 Catania. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Benevento37%fair 2.69 · @2.33
Draw30%fair 3.38 · @2.80
Catania33%fair 3.01 · @3.20
2.31Expected goals
1.18Benevento xG
1.13Catania xG
54%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–012%
0–111%
0–010%
2–18%
1–27%
From our goals model: Benevento 1.2 – 1.1 Catania expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Footrivo team ratings
Benevento
Catania
Attack vs Serie C Girone C average
-3%
+26%
Goals conceded vs average
-18%
-24%
Our expected goals here
1.14
1.13
Our own ratings from every Serie C Girone C result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Benevento to win✓
37%
2.69
2.33
Double chance
Either team to win✓
70%
1.42
1.35
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.86
2.00 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
65%
1.54
1.50
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
61%
1.64
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.17
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Benevento / FT Benevento✗
21%
4.76
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
8%
12.82
–
Form
Benevento – last 2
WD
1 Mar
@ Potenza
1–0
W
22 Feb
@ Team Altamura
2–2
D
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Catania – last 3
DWW
1 Mar
@ Salernitana
0–0
D
22 Feb
vs Giugliano
1–0
W
18 Feb
vs Trapani 1905
4–0
W
1.7Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Benevento and Catania.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Benevento vs Catania?
On our numbers Benevento have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 30% and Catania 33%.
How many goals will there be in Benevento vs Catania?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Benevento vs Catania?
Our predicted score is Benevento 1–1 Catania, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Benevento vs Catania?
Benevento vs Catania (Serie C Girone C) kicks off on Thursday 5 March 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Ciro Vigorito.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Latina2
Siracusa1
Atalanta II1
Trapani 19052