Vis Pesaro vs Sambenedettese Prediction, Odds & Analysis – 26 Apr 2026

Quick tips for this match

ResultSambenedettese to win ✓62% · @1.59

Double chanceSambenedettese or draw ✓83% · @1.11

Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · @1.61

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗81% · @1.16

Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗18% · fair 5.46

Vis Pesaro vs Sambenedettese preview and prediction

The match

Vis Pesaro host Sambenedettese in the Serie C Girone B on Sunday 26 April, with kick-off at 13:30 (WAT) at Tonino Benelli. Vis Pesaro are 20th with 5 points from 13 games (in the bottom three), while Sambenedettese sit 17th on 10 points (in the bottom half).

Form guide

Vis Pesaro's last 5: LWWDL Most recently they lost to Perugia 0–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.4 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Sambenedettese's last 5: DDDWL Most recently they drew with Arezzo 0–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 0.6 for Vis Pesaro and 1.5 for Sambenedettese. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 61% likely.

Betting angles

Win chances: Vis Pesaro 17%, draw 21%, Sambenedettese 62%.
Both teams to score: no (52%) at 1.61.

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Sambenedettese to win – a 62% chance at odds of 1.59. Predicted score: Vis Pesaro 0–1 Sambenedettese. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Vis Pesaro17%fair 5.82 · @4.70

Draw21%fair 4.76 · @3.70

Sambenedettese62%fair 1.62 · @1.59

2.11Expected goals

0.60Vis Pesaro xG

1.51Sambenedettese xG

48%Both score

39%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

0–118%

0–214%

0–012%

1–111%

1–28%

1–07%

From our goals model: Vis Pesaro 0.6 – 1.5 Sambenedettese expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Sambenedettese to win ✓	62%	1.62	1.59
Double chance	Sambenedettese or draw ✓	83%	1.21	1.11
Both teams to score	Not both teams to score ✗	52%	1.92	1.61
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	64%	1.55	1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✗	61%	1.63	1.59
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✗	81%	1.24	1.16
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	47%	2.14	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Sambenedettese / FT Sambenedettese ✓	36%	2.78	–
Correct score	Correct score 0–1 ✗	18%	5.46	–

Form

Vis Pesaro – last 5

LWWDL

29 Mar	vs Perugia	0–1	L
8 Mar	@ Juventus U23	3–1	W
4 Mar	vs Bra	2–1	W
1 Mar	vs Pontedera	1–1	D
16 Feb	vs Campobasso FC	1–2	L

1.4Scored / game

1.2Conceded / game

80%Both scored

60%Over 2.5

Sambenedettese – last 6

DDDWLL

4 Apr	vs Arezzo	0–0	D
29 Mar	@ Pineto	0–0	D
20 Mar	@ Ternana	1–1	D
8 Mar	@ Guidonia Montecelio 1937	1–0	W
4 Mar	vs Ascoli	0–1	L
15 Feb	vs Torres	1–2	L

0.5Scored / game

0.7Conceded / game

33%Both scored

17%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Spezia	13	11	2	0	+19	35
2	Ravenna	13	9	2	2	+17	29
3	Grosseto	13	6	5	2	+8	23
4	Pescara	13	6	4	3	+4	22
5	Torres	13	6	4	3	+3	22
6	Reggiana	13	6	2	5	+4	20
7	Guidonia Montecelio 1937	13	5	5	3	+3	20
8	Livorno	13	5	5	3	+1	20
9	Campobasso FC	13	5	4	4	-2	19
10	Atalanta II	13	6	0	7	-3	18
11	Pineto	13	4	5	4	-2	17
12	Perugia	13	5	2	6	-3	17
13	Vado	13	4	4	5	-1	16
14	Forli	13	3	6	4	-1	15
15	Latina	13	3	6	4	-2	15
16	Pianese	13	2	7	4	-3	13
17	Sambenedettese	13	2	4	7	-5	10
18	Ostia Mare	13	2	3	8	-9	9
19	Gubbio	13	2	2	9	-12	8
20	Vis Pesaro	13	1	2	10	-16	5

Team

Pts

+19

+17

Guidonia Montecelio 1937

-2

-3

-2

-3

-1

-1

-2

-3

-5

-9

-12

-16

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Vis Pesaro vs Sambenedettese?

Our pick is Sambenedettese to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.59.

Who will win Vis Pesaro vs Sambenedettese?

On our numbers Vis Pesaro have a 17% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Sambenedettese 62%.

How many goals will there be in Vis Pesaro vs Sambenedettese?

We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Vis Pesaro vs Sambenedettese?

Our predicted score is Vis Pesaro 0–1 Sambenedettese, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.

When is Vis Pesaro vs Sambenedettese?

Vis Pesaro vs Sambenedettese (Serie C Girone B) kicks off on Sunday 26 April 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time) at Tonino Benelli.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

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