The Serie C Girone B sees Forli take on Perugia on Sunday 26 April, kicking off at 13:30 (WAT) at Stadio Tullo Morgagni. Forli are 14th with 15 points from 13 games (in the bottom half), while Perugia sit 12th on 17 points (in the bottom half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Forli's last 5: DDDLL Most recently they drew with Pianese 0–0 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Perugia's last 5: DWDDW Most recently they drew with Ternana 2–2 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.5 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Perugia arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.1 for Forli and 1.3 for Perugia. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 53%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Forli 32%, draw 22%, Perugia 45%.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 1.85.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 68% chance at odds of 1.34. Predicted score: Forli 1–1 Perugia. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Forli32%fair 3.08 · @2.85
Draw22%fair 4.51 · @3.10
Perugia45%fair 2.20 · @2.28
2.40Expected goals
1.06Forli xG
1.33Perugia xG
53%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–112%
1–010%
0–09%
1–29%
0–28%
From our goals model: Forli 1.1 – 1.3 Perugia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Perugia to win✗
45%
2.20
2.28
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.29
1.27
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.88
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.46
1.34
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.75
1.61
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
1.18
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Perugia / FT Perugia✗
25%
4.02
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
12%
8.25
–
Form
Forli – last 6
DDDLLD
29 Mar
vs Pianese
0–0
D
15 Mar
vs Juventus U23
2–2
D
8 Mar
vs Livorno
1–1
D
4 Mar
@ Pineto
2–3
L
23 Feb
@ Ternana
1–2
L
15 Feb
@ Guidonia Montecelio 1937
2–2
D
1.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Perugia – last 6
DWDDWW
12 Apr
@ Ternana
2–2
D
29 Mar
@ Vis Pesaro
1–0
W
20 Mar
vs Torres
1–1
D
15 Mar
@ Arezzo
1–1
D
9 Mar
vs Pontedera
2–1
W
4 Mar
@ Livorno
2–1
W
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Forli and Perugia.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.34.
Who will win Forli vs Perugia?
On our numbers Forli have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Perugia 45%.
How many goals will there be in Forli vs Perugia?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Forli vs Perugia?
Our predicted score is Forli 1–1 Perugia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Forli vs Perugia?
Forli vs Perugia (Serie C Girone B) kicks off on Sunday 26 April 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Tullo Morgagni.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Juventus U232
Bra2
Athletic Carpi3
Ascoli0
Pontedera0
Arezzo3
Ternana1