Serie C Girone B · Italy · Stadio Pietro BarbettiGubbio vs Pineto prediction & analysis
Over 1.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.34 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Gubbio 1.2 – 1.1 Pineto expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates Gubbio and Pineto on our numbers – 41% for the home side, 35% for the visitors and 24% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
Gubbio have taken 6 points from their last 6 matches (2W 0D 4L), scoring 0.7 and conceding 1.7 per game. Pineto have 4 points from their last 5 (1W 1D 3L), averaging 0.6 scored and 1.4 conceded.
We expect around 2.2 goals (1.2 for Gubbio, 1.1 for Pineto). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 41%, both teams to score at 55%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (13%), 1–0 (13%), 0–1 (11%).
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 66% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.34 is close to our fair price of 1.51.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Gubbio to win ✓ | 41% | 2.46 | 2.27 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 76% | 1.32 | 1.27 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 55% | 1.83 | 1.85 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 66% | 1.51 | 1.34 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 59% | 1.69 | 1.61 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 79% | 1.26 | 1.17 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 47% | 2.13 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Gubbio / FT Gubbio ✓ | 22% | 4.58 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 13% | 7.96 | – |
Form
Gubbio – last 6
| 3 Apr | @ Livorno | 0–3 | L |
| 29 Mar | vs Ravenna | 0–2 | L |
| 15 Mar | vs Ascoli | 1–3 | L |
| 4 Mar | vs Athletic Carpi | 2–1 | W |
| 1 Mar | @ Guidonia Montecelio 1937 | 1–0 | W |
| 21 Feb | vs Arezzo | 0–1 | L |
Pineto – last 5
| 29 Mar | vs Sambenedettese | 0–0 | D |
| 8 Mar | @ Pianese | 0–1 | L |
| 4 Mar | vs Forli | 3–2 | W |
| 21 Feb | @ Livorno | 0–1 | L |
| 16 Feb | vs Ternana | 0–3 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gubbio and Pineto.
Serie C Girone B table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Spezia | 13 | +19 | 35 |
| 2 |  Ravenna | 13 | +17 | 29 |
| 3 |  Grosseto | 13 | +8 | 23 |
| 4 |  Pescara | 13 | +4 | 22 |
| 5 |  Torres | 13 | +3 | 22 |
| 6 |  Reggiana | 13 | +4 | 20 |
| 7 |  Guidonia Montecelio 1937 | 13 | +3 | 20 |
| 8 |  Livorno | 13 | +1 | 20 |
| 9 |  Campobasso FC | 13 | -2 | 19 |
| 10 |  Atalanta II | 13 | -3 | 18 |
| 11 |  Pineto | 13 | -2 | 17 |
| 12 |  Perugia | 13 | -3 | 17 |
| 13 |  Vado | 13 | -1 | 16 |
| 14 |  Forli | 13 | -1 | 15 |
| 15 |  Latina | 13 | -2 | 15 |
| 16 |  Pianese | 13 | -3 | 13 |
| 17 |  Sambenedettese | 13 | -5 | 10 |
| 18 |  Ostia Mare | 13 | -9 | 9 |
| 19 |  Gubbio | 13 | -12 | 8 |
| 20 |  Vis Pesaro | 13 | -16 | 5 |
More Serie C Girone B predictions
League hub
Juventus U232
Bra2
Athletic Carpi3
Ascoli0
Pontedera0
Arezzo3
Ternana1Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Gubbio vs Pineto?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.34.
Who will win Gubbio vs Pineto?
On our numbers Gubbio have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Pineto 35%.
How many goals will there be in Gubbio vs Pineto?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
When is Gubbio vs Pineto?
Gubbio vs Pineto (Serie C Girone B) kicks off on Sunday 26 April 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Pietro Barbetti.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.