Value bet: Ternana to win @ 1.75 – our chance 66% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultTernana to win ✗66% · @1.75
Double chanceTernana or draw ✗88% · @1.16
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.79
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗77% · @1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.81
Ternana vs Pianese preview and prediction
The match
Pianese travel to Stadio Libero Liberati in the Serie C Girone B on Sunday 26 April (13:30 WAT) to face Ternana.
Form guide
Ternana's last 5: DLDWL Most recently they drew with Perugia 2–2 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.7 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Pianese's last 5: LDWDD Most recently they lost to Campobasso FC 0–2 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.7 for Ternana and 0.6 for Pianese. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 49%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Ternana 66%, draw 22%, Pianese 12%.
Safer route: Ternana or draw (88%) at 1.16.
Both teams to score: no (51%) at 1.79.
Value angle: Ternana to win at 1.75 – 66% on our numbers against 57% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.21. Predicted score: Ternana 1–0 Pianese. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ternana66%fair 1.51 · @1.75
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.40
Pianese12%fair 8.67 · @4.05
2.32Expected goals
1.75Ternana xG
0.57Pianese xG
49%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–017%
2–015%
0–010%
1–110%
3–09%
2–19%
From our goals model: Ternana 1.7 – 0.6 Pianese expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ternana to win✗
66%
1.51
1.75 ▲
Double chance
Ternana or draw✗
88%
1.13
1.16
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
51%
1.97
1.79
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.77
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
77%
1.30
1.21
Half-time result
Ternana ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ternana / FT Ternana✗
42%
2.41
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
17%
5.81
–
Form
Ternana – last 6
DLDWLW
12 Apr
vs Perugia
2–2
D
8 Apr
@ Juventus U23
1–2
L
20 Mar
vs Sambenedettese
1–1
D
4 Mar
@ Arezzo
2–1
W
1 Mar
vs Campobasso FC
2–4
L
23 Feb
vs Forli
2–1
W
1.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
100%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Pianese – last 6
LDWDDD
4 Apr
vs Campobasso FC
0–2
L
29 Mar
@ Forli
0–0
D
8 Mar
vs Pineto
1–0
W
4 Mar
@ Ravenna
0–0
D
1 Mar
@ Bra
1–1
D
20 Feb
vs Guidonia Montecelio 1937
0–0
D
0.3Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ternana and Pianese.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.21.
Who will win Ternana vs Pianese?
On our numbers Ternana have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Pianese 12%.
How many goals will there be in Ternana vs Pianese?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ternana vs Pianese?
Our predicted score is Ternana 1–0 Pianese, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Ternana vs Pianese?
Ternana vs Pianese (Serie C Girone B) kicks off on Sunday 26 April 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Libero Liberati.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Juventus U232
Bra2
Athletic Carpi3
Ascoli0
Pontedera0
Arezzo3