Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.48 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.48Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 52% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAscoli to win ✓49% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.15
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓13% · fair 7.80
Sambenedettese vs Ascoli preview and prediction
The match
The Serie C Girone B sees Sambenedettese take on Ascoli on Wednesday 4 March, kicking off at 21:00 (WAT) at Stadio Comunale Riviera delle Palme.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.0 for Sambenedettese and 1.4 for Ascoli. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 41%, both teams to score at 52%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.10 – 52% on our numbers against 48% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 66% chance at odds of 1.48. Predicted score: Sambenedettese 1–1 Ascoli. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sambenedettese26%fair 3.81 · @3.50
Draw25%fair 4.05 · @3.10
Ascoli49%fair 2.04 · @2.05
2.42Expected goals
0.98Sambenedettese xG
1.44Ascoli xG
52%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–113%
1–113%
0–29%
1–29%
0–09%
1–09%
From our goals model: Sambenedettese 1.0 – 1.4 Ascoli expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Footrivo team ratings
Sambenedettese
Ascoli
Attack vs Serie C Girone B average
+1%
+18%
Goals conceded vs average
+17%
-17%
Our expected goals here
1.13
1.65
Our own ratings from every Serie C Girone B result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ascoli to win✓
49%
2.04
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.92
2.10 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
66%
1.51
1.48
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.68
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
1.15
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ascoli / FT Ascoli✗
28%
3.53
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✓
13%
7.80
–
Form
Sambenedettese – last 1
L
15 Feb
vs Torres
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Ascoli – last 2
WW
22 Feb
@ Pontedera
3–1
W
15 Feb
@ Bra
3–1
W
3.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sambenedettese and Ascoli.
What is the prediction for Sambenedettese vs Ascoli?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Sambenedettese vs Ascoli?
On our numbers Sambenedettese have a 26% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Ascoli 49%.
How many goals will there be in Sambenedettese vs Ascoli?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sambenedettese vs Ascoli?
Our predicted score is Sambenedettese 1–1 Ascoli, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Sambenedettese vs Ascoli?
Sambenedettese vs Ascoli (Serie C Girone B) kicks off on Wednesday 4 March 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Comunale Riviera delle Palme.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Athletic Carpi1
Pontedera0
Juventus U231
Bra1
Arezzo1
Ternana2