Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultPineto to win ✓37% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓71% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.37
Pineto vs Forli preview and prediction
The match
The Serie C Girone B sees Pineto take on Forli on Wednesday 4 March, kicking off at 20:30 (WAT) at Mimmo Pavone-Alessandro Mariani. Pineto are 11th with 17 points from 13 games (in the bottom half), while Forli sit 14th on 15 points (in the bottom half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.2 for Pineto and 1.1 for Forli. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 53%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Pineto 37%, draw 29%, Forli 34%.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 1.83.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Pineto 1–1 Forli. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Pineto37%fair 2.71 · @2.30
Draw29%fair 3.47 · @3.10
Forli34%fair 2.92 · @2.95
2.29Expected goals
1.18Pineto xG
1.11Forli xG
53%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–012%
0–111%
0–010%
2–18%
1–27%
From our goals model: Pineto 1.2 – 1.1 Forli expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Footrivo team ratings
Pineto
Forli
Attack vs Serie C Girone B average
-32%
-5%
Goals conceded vs average
-15%
+15%
Our expected goals here
1.05
0.97
Our own ratings from every Serie C Girone B result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Pineto to win✓
37%
2.71
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✓
71%
1.40
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.89
1.83
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.72
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
78%
1.28
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.16
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Pineto / FT Pineto✓
21%
4.69
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.37
–
Form
Pineto – last 2
LL
21 Feb
@ Livorno
0–1
L
16 Feb
vs Ternana
0–3
L
0.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Forli – last 2
LD
23 Feb
@ Ternana
1–2
L
15 Feb
@ Guidonia Montecelio 1937
2–2
D
1.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Pineto and Forli.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Pineto vs Forli?
On our numbers Pineto have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Forli 34%.
How many goals will there be in Pineto vs Forli?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pineto vs Forli?
Our predicted score is Pineto 1–1 Forli, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Pineto vs Forli?
Pineto vs Forli (Serie C Girone B) kicks off on Wednesday 4 March 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time) at Mimmo Pavone-Alessandro Mariani.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Athletic Carpi1
Pontedera0
Juventus U231
Bra1
Arezzo1
Ternana2
Ascoli1