Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 55% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultArezzo to win ✗55% · @1.77
Double chanceArezzo or draw ✗79% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.71
Arezzo vs Ternana preview and prediction
The match
Arezzo host Ternana in the Serie C Girone B on Wednesday 4 March, with kick-off at 20:30 (WAT) at Citta di Arezzo.
Form guide
Ternana's last 3: LWW Most recently they lost to Campobasso FC 2–4 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.6 for Arezzo and 0.9 for Ternana. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 55%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Arezzo 55%, draw 24%, Ternana 21%.
Safer route: Arezzo or draw (79%) at 1.15.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 2.10.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.10 – 55% on our numbers against 48% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 68% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Arezzo 1–1 Ternana. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Arezzo55%fair 1.80 · @1.77
Draw24%fair 4.20 · @3.20
Ternana21%fair 4.82 · @4.40
2.50Expected goals
1.58Arezzo xG
0.92Ternana xG
55%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
1–112%
2–010%
2–19%
0–08%
0–18%
From our goals model: Arezzo 1.6 – 0.9 Ternana expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Footrivo team ratings
Arezzo
Ternana
Attack vs Serie C Girone B average
+5%
+11%
Goals conceded vs average
-18%
+20%
Our expected goals here
1.70
1.08
Our own ratings from every Serie C Girone B result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Arezzo to win✗
55%
1.80
1.77
Double chance
Arezzo or draw✗
79%
1.26
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.81
2.10 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
1.44
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.74
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
1.18
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Arezzo / FT Arezzo✗
32%
3.14
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.71
–
Form
Arezzo – last 2
DW
1 Mar
vs Ravenna
1–1
D
21 Feb
@ Gubbio
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Ternana – last 3
LWW
1 Mar
vs Campobasso FC
2–4
L
23 Feb
vs Forli
2–1
W
16 Feb
@ Pineto
3–0
W
2.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Arezzo and Ternana.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Arezzo vs Ternana?
On our numbers Arezzo have a 55% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Ternana 21%.
How many goals will there be in Arezzo vs Ternana?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Arezzo vs Ternana?
Our predicted score is Arezzo 1–1 Ternana, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Arezzo vs Ternana?
Arezzo vs Ternana (Serie C Girone B) kicks off on Wednesday 4 March 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time) at Citta di Arezzo.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Gubbio2
Athletic Carpi1
Pontedera0
Juventus U231
Vis Pesaro2
Bra1
Livorno1
Perugia2
Torres2
Guidonia Montecelio 19371
Ravenna0
Pianese0
Pineto3
Forli2
Sambenedettese0
Ascoli1