Value bet: Socuéllamos to win @ 3.10 – our chance 35% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultLas Palmas II to win ✗44% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.20
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗50% · fair 1.99
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗10% · fair 10.20
Socuéllamos vs Las Palmas II preview and prediction
The match
The Segunda División RFEF Group 5 sees Socuéllamos take on Las Palmas II on Sunday 3 May, kicking off at 11:00 (WAT) at Estadio Paquito Jiménez.
Form guide
Socuéllamos's last 5: WLLWW Most recently they beat Rayo Vallecano II 2–0 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.5 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Las Palmas II's last 5: WLLLD Most recently they beat Orihuela 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.2 for Socuéllamos and 1.4 for Las Palmas II. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 50%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Socuéllamos 35%, draw 21%, Las Palmas II 44%.
Value angle: Socuéllamos to win at 3.10 – 35% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 51% chance at odds of 1.73. Predicted score: Socuéllamos 1–2 Las Palmas II. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Socuéllamos35%fair 2.84 · @3.10
Draw21%fair 4.87 · @3.40
Las Palmas II44%fair 2.26 · @2.00
2.69Expected goals
1.25Socuéllamos xG
1.44Las Palmas II xG
50%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
1–08%
2–18%
0–27%
From our goals model: Socuéllamos 1.2 – 1.4 Las Palmas II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Las Palmas II to win✗
44%
2.26
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✗
79%
1.26
1.20
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
50%
1.99
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.95
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.40
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.37
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Las Palmas II / FT Las Palmas II✗
24%
4.08
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
10%
10.20
–
Form
Socuéllamos – last 6
WLLWWL
26 Apr
@ Rayo Vallecano II
2–0
W
19 Apr
vs Fuenlabrada
2–3
L
5 Apr
vs Tenerife II
0–3
L
22 Mar
vs Quintanar del Rey
3–1
W
8 Mar
vs Navalcarnero
1–0
W
1 Mar
@ RSD Alcalá
1–3
L
1.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Las Palmas II – last 6
WLLLDW
26 Apr
vs Orihuela
2–1
W
19 Apr
@ Getafe II
0–3
L
11 Apr
vs Real Madrid III
0–1
L
5 Apr
@ RSD Alcalá
1–2
L
29 Mar
vs Intercity
0–0
D
22 Mar
@ Colonia Moscardó
2–1
W
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Socuéllamos and Las Palmas II.
What is the prediction for Socuéllamos vs Las Palmas II?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Socuéllamos vs Las Palmas II?
On our numbers Socuéllamos have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Las Palmas II 44%.
How many goals will there be in Socuéllamos vs Las Palmas II?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Socuéllamos vs Las Palmas II?
Our predicted score is Socuéllamos 1–2 Las Palmas II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Socuéllamos vs Las Palmas II?
Socuéllamos vs Las Palmas II (Segunda División RFEF Group 5) kicks off on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Paquito Jiménez.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.