Double chanceRayo Majadahonda or draw ✓94% · fair 1.06
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓62% · fair 1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗16% · fair 6.19
Rayo Majadahonda vs Rayo Vallecano II preview and prediction
The match
Rayo Vallecano II travel to Estadio Cerro del Espino in the Segunda División RFEF Group 5 on Sunday 3 May (11:00 WAT) to face Rayo Majadahonda.
Form guide
Rayo Majadahonda's last 5: DWWLD Most recently they drew with Fuenlabrada 0–0 away. They average 1.5 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Rayo Vallecano II's last 5: LLLDL Most recently they lost to Socuéllamos 0–2 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.2 per game.
Rayo Majadahonda arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 2.3 for Rayo Majadahonda and 0.5 for Rayo Vallecano II. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 56%, both teams to score at 38%.
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 56% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: Rayo Majadahonda 3–0 Rayo Vallecano II. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Rayo Majadahonda77%fair 1.29 · @1.10
Draw17%fair 6.01 · @6.20
Rayo Vallecano II6%fair 16.78 · @21.00
2.78Expected goals
2.28Rayo Majadahonda xG
0.50Rayo Vallecano II xG
38%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–016%
1–014%
3–012%
2–18%
1–17%
4–07%
From our goals model: Rayo Majadahonda 2.3 – 0.5 Rayo Vallecano II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Rayo Majadahonda to win✓
77%
1.29
1.10
Double chance
Rayo Majadahonda or draw✓
94%
1.06
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.31
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.78
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
–
Half-time result
Rayo Majadahonda ahead at half-time✓
56%
1.80
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Rayo Majadahonda / FT Rayo Majadahonda✓
53%
1.89
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
16%
6.19
–
Form
Rayo Majadahonda – last 6
DWWLDW
26 Apr
@ Fuenlabrada
0–0
D
19 Apr
@ Elche II
1–0
W
5 Apr
@ Navalcarnero
3–2
W
29 Mar
vs RSD Alcalá
1–2
L
22 Mar
@ Intercity
1–1
D
8 Mar
@ Orihuela
3–2
W
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Rayo Vallecano II – last 6
LLLDLL
26 Apr
vs Socuéllamos
0–2
L
19 Apr
@ RSD Alcalá
0–3
L
29 Mar
vs Getafe II
0–4
L
15 Mar
vs Orihuela
0–0
D
8 Mar
@ Colonia Moscardó
0–4
L
1 Mar
vs Tenerife II
1–4
L
0.2Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Rayo Majadahonda and Rayo Vallecano II.
What is the prediction for Rayo Majadahonda vs Rayo Vallecano II?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Rayo Majadahonda vs Rayo Vallecano II?
On our numbers Rayo Majadahonda have a 77% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Rayo Vallecano II 6%.
How many goals will there be in Rayo Majadahonda vs Rayo Vallecano II?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 38% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rayo Majadahonda vs Rayo Vallecano II?
Our predicted score is Rayo Majadahonda 3–0 Rayo Vallecano II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Rayo Majadahonda vs Rayo Vallecano II?
Rayo Majadahonda vs Rayo Vallecano II (Segunda División RFEF Group 5) kicks off on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Cerro del Espino.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.