Value bet: Getafe II to win @ 2.95 – our chance 37% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultOrihuela to win ✓39% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗54% · fair 1.87
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗10% · fair 9.91
Orihuela vs Getafe II preview and prediction
The match
Getafe II travel to Estadio Municipal Los Arcos in the Segunda División RFEF Group 5 on Sunday 3 May (11:00 WAT) to face Orihuela.
Form guide
Orihuela's last 5: LDWDL Most recently they lost to Las Palmas II 1–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Getafe II's last 5: LWLWW Most recently they lost to Intercity 0–1 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.3 for Orihuela and 1.3 for Getafe II. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 46%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Orihuela 39%, draw 24%, Getafe II 37%.
Value angle: Getafe II to win at 2.95 – 37% on our numbers against 34% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 54% chance at odds of 1.65. Predicted score: Orihuela 1–1 Getafe II. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Orihuela39%fair 2.59 · @2.20
Draw24%fair 4.14 · @3.10
Getafe II37%fair 2.69 · @2.95
2.55Expected goals
1.29Orihuela xG
1.26Getafe II xG
46%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–010%
0–110%
2–18%
1–28%
0–08%
From our goals model: Orihuela 1.3 – 1.3 Getafe II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Orihuela to win✓
39%
2.59
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.25
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
54%
1.87
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.85
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Orihuela / FT Orihuela✗
21%
4.66
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
10%
9.91
–
Form
Orihuela – last 6
LDWDLW
26 Apr
@ Las Palmas II
1–2
L
5 Apr
vs Conquense
2–2
D
29 Mar
@ Tenerife II
3–1
W
15 Mar
@ Rayo Vallecano II
0–0
D
8 Mar
vs Rayo Majadahonda
2–3
L
22 Feb
vs Navalcarnero
4–0
W
2.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Getafe II – last 6
LWLWWD
26 Apr
vs Intercity
0–1
L
19 Apr
vs Las Palmas II
3–0
W
5 Apr
vs Colonia Moscardó
0–2
L
29 Mar
@ Rayo Vallecano II
4–0
W
22 Mar
vs Tenerife II
2–1
W
15 Mar
@ Fuenlabrada
0–0
D
1.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Orihuela and Getafe II.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Orihuela vs Getafe II?
On our numbers Orihuela have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Getafe II 37%.
How many goals will there be in Orihuela vs Getafe II?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Orihuela vs Getafe II?
Our predicted score is Orihuela 1–1 Getafe II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Orihuela vs Getafe II?
Orihuela vs Getafe II (Segunda División RFEF Group 5) kicks off on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal Los Arcos.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.