Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · fair 1.87
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.25
Navalcarnero vs Fuenlabrada preview and prediction
The match
Fuenlabrada travel to Estadio Municipal Mariano González in the Segunda División RFEF Group 5 on Sunday 3 May (11:00 WAT) to face Navalcarnero.
Form guide
Navalcarnero's last 5: DWLLL Most recently they drew with Colonia Moscardó 0–0 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Fuenlabrada's last 5: DWLLW Most recently they drew with Rayo Majadahonda 0–0 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.3 for Navalcarnero and 1.1 for Fuenlabrada. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 47%.
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 56% chance at odds of 1.65. Predicted score: Navalcarnero 1–1 Fuenlabrada. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Navalcarnero46%fair 2.19 · @2.05
Draw22%fair 4.53 · @3.10
Fuenlabrada32%fair 3.10 · @3.20
2.40Expected goals
1.34Navalcarnero xG
1.06Fuenlabrada xG
47%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–012%
0–110%
0–09%
2–19%
2–08%
From our goals model: Navalcarnero 1.3 – 1.1 Fuenlabrada expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Navalcarnero to win✓
46%
2.19
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.25
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
53%
1.87
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.79
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
78%
1.28
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Navalcarnero / FT Navalcarnero✗
25%
3.99
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.25
–
Form
Navalcarnero – last 6
DWLLLW
26 Apr
@ Colonia Moscardó
0–0
D
19 Apr
vs Conquense
2–0
W
5 Apr
vs Rayo Majadahonda
2–3
L
29 Mar
@ Quintanar del Rey
0–1
L
22 Mar
@ RSD Alcalá
0–1
L
15 Mar
vs Elche II
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Fuenlabrada – last 6
DWLLWD
26 Apr
vs Rayo Majadahonda
0–0
D
19 Apr
@ Socuéllamos
3–2
W
12 Apr
vs RSD Alcalá
0–2
L
5 Apr
@ Quintanar del Rey
0–1
L
22 Mar
@ Elche II
3–2
W
15 Mar
vs Getafe II
0–0
D
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Navalcarnero and Fuenlabrada.
What is the prediction for Navalcarnero vs Fuenlabrada?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Navalcarnero vs Fuenlabrada?
On our numbers Navalcarnero have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Fuenlabrada 32%.
How many goals will there be in Navalcarnero vs Fuenlabrada?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Navalcarnero vs Fuenlabrada?
Our predicted score is Navalcarnero 1–1 Fuenlabrada, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Navalcarnero vs Fuenlabrada?
Navalcarnero vs Fuenlabrada (Segunda División RFEF Group 5) kicks off on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal Mariano González.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Intercity2
Colonia Moscardó0
Elche II1
Quintanar del Rey3
Orihuela2
Rayo Majadahonda3
Rayo Vallecano II0
CD Coria2
Socuéllamos1
Las Palmas II1
Tenerife II1