Real Madrid III vs Conquense prediction & analysis
66%
Footrivo pick
Real Madrid III to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.64 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.64Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultReal Madrid III to win ✗66% · @1.64
Double chanceReal Madrid III or draw ✗90% · @1.11
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓59% · fair 1.71
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.22
Real Madrid III vs Conquense preview and prediction
The match
Real Madrid III host Conquense in the Segunda División RFEF Group 5 on Sunday 3 May, with kick-off at 11:00 (WAT) at Ciudad Real Madrid Campo 3. Real Madrid III are 11th with 11 points from 10 games (in the bottom half), while Conquense sit 4th on 18 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Real Madrid III's last 5: WWWLW Most recently they beat SS Reyes 3–0 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Conquense's last 5: WLDWW Most recently they beat Tenerife II 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 0.7 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.8 for Real Madrid III and 0.6 for Conquense. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 41%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Real Madrid III 66%, draw 24%, Conquense 10%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Real Madrid III to win – a 66% chance at odds of 1.64, above our fair price of 1.52, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Real Madrid III 1–0 Conquense. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Real Madrid III66%fair 1.52 · @1.64
Draw24%fair 4.24 · @3.40
Conquense10%fair 9.55 · @4.60
2.43Expected goals
1.83Real Madrid III xG
0.60Conquense xG
41%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–015%
1–110%
3–09%
2–19%
0–09%
From our goals model: Real Madrid III 1.8 – 0.6 Conquense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Real Madrid III to win✗
66%
1.52
1.64 ▲
Double chance
Real Madrid III or draw✗
90%
1.12
1.11
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
59%
1.71
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.80
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
–
Half-time result
Real Madrid III ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.15
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Real Madrid III / FT Real Madrid III✗
43%
2.35
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.22
–
Form
Real Madrid III – last 6
WWWLWW
26 Apr
@ SS Reyes
3–0
W
14 Apr
vs Colonia Moscardó
1–0
W
11 Apr
@ Las Palmas II
1–0
W
5 Apr
vs CD Coria
2–3
L
15 Mar
@ Quintanar del Rey
2–1
W
8 Mar
vs Tenerife II
4–0
W
2.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Conquense – last 6
WLDWWW
26 Apr
vs Tenerife II
1–0
W
19 Apr
@ Navalcarnero
0–2
L
5 Apr
@ Orihuela
2–2
D
15 Mar
vs Colonia Moscardó
3–0
W
8 Mar
@ Intercity
2–0
W
1 Mar
vs Las Palmas II
3–0
W
1.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Real Madrid III and Conquense.
What is the prediction for Real Madrid III vs Conquense?
Our pick is Real Madrid III to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.64.
Who will win Real Madrid III vs Conquense?
On our numbers Real Madrid III have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Conquense 10%.
How many goals will there be in Real Madrid III vs Conquense?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 41% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Real Madrid III vs Conquense?
Our predicted score is Real Madrid III 1–0 Conquense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Real Madrid III vs Conquense?
Real Madrid III vs Conquense (Segunda División RFEF Group 5) kicks off on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Ciudad Real Madrid Campo 3.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.