Value bet: Extremadura 1924 to win @ 3.00 – our chance 36% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultXerez to win38% · @2.35
Double chanceEither team to win74% · @1.33
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score53% · fair 1.88
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–012% · fair 8.07
Xerez vs Extremadura 1924 preview and prediction
The match
Xerez host Extremadura 1924 in the Segunda División RFEF Group 4 on Sunday 19 April, with kick-off at 17:00 (WAT) at Estadio Municipal de Chapín.
Form guide
Xerez's last 5: LWWLD Most recently they lost to Puente Genil 0–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.6 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Extremadura 1924's last 5: WWDWD Most recently they beat Deportiva Minera 1–0 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 0.3 conceded. 5 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Extremadura 1924 arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.4.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.1 for Xerez and 1.1 for Extremadura 1924. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 38%, both teams to score at 47%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Value angle: Extremadura 1924 to win at 3.00 – 36% on our numbers against 33% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 62% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: Xerez 1–1 Extremadura 1924. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Xerez38%fair 2.60 · @2.35
Draw26%fair 3.89 · @2.88
Extremadura 192436%fair 2.79 · @3.00
2.21Expected goals
1.13Xerez xG
1.08Extremadura 1924 xG
47%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–012%
0–112%
0–011%
2–18%
1–27%
From our goals model: Xerez 1.1 – 1.1 Extremadura 1924 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Xerez to win
38%
2.60
2.35
Double chance
Either team to win
74%
1.35
1.33
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score
53%
1.88
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
62%
1.61
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
82%
1.22
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
47%
2.11
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Xerez / FT Xerez
21%
4.83
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0
12%
8.07
–
Form
Xerez – last 5
LWWLD
5 Apr
vs Puente Genil
0–1
L
8 Mar
vs Recreativo Huelva
1–0
W
1 Mar
vs Yeclano
1–0
W
22 Feb
@ Deportiva Minera
0–1
L
15 Feb
vs Linares Deportivo
1–1
D
0.6Scored / game
0.6Conceded / game
20%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Extremadura 1924 – last 6
WWDWDW
29 Mar
vs Deportiva Minera
1–0
W
18 Mar
vs Melilla
1–0
W
8 Mar
@ Almería II
2–2
D
1 Mar
vs Lorca Deportiva
3–0
W
22 Feb
@ Xerez Deportivo
0–0
D
18 Feb
vs Antoniano
3–0
W
1.7Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Xerez and Extremadura 1924.
What is the prediction for Xerez vs Extremadura 1924?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Xerez vs Extremadura 1924?
On our numbers Xerez have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Extremadura 1924 36%.
How many goals will there be in Xerez vs Extremadura 1924?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Xerez vs Extremadura 1924?
Our predicted score is Xerez 1–1 Extremadura 1924, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Xerez vs Extremadura 1924?
Xerez vs Extremadura 1924 (Segunda División RFEF Group 4) kicks off on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal de Chapín.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.