Both teams scoreNot both teams to score53% · @1.60
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals67% · fair 1.50
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–021% · fair 4.86
Real Jaén vs Puente Genil preview and prediction
The match
Real Jaén host Puente Genil in the Segunda División RFEF Group 4 on Sunday 19 April, with kick-off at 17:00 (WAT) at Nuevo Estadio La Victoria.
Form guide
Real Jaén's last 5: WDWWW Most recently they beat Yeclano 1–0 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 0.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Puente Genil's last 5: DWLLL Most recently they drew with Deportiva Minera 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Real Jaén arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.6 for Real Jaén and 0.5 for Puente Genil. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 67% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Real Jaén 65%, draw 23%, Puente Genil 11%.
Both teams to score: no (53%) at 1.60.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Real Jaén to win – a 65% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: Real Jaén 1–0 Puente Genil. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Real Jaén65%fair 1.53 · @1.50
Draw23%fair 4.28 · @3.50
Puente Genil11%fair 8.90 · @6.00
2.03Expected goals
1.57Real Jaén xG
0.46Puente Genil xG
47%Both score
33%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–021%
2–016%
0–013%
1–110%
3–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Real Jaén 1.6 – 0.5 Puente Genil expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Real Jaén to win
65%
1.53
1.50
Double chance
Real Jaén or draw
89%
1.13
1.11
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score
53%
1.88
1.60
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
85%
1.17
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
47%
2.13
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Real Jaén / FT Real Jaén
40%
2.51
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0
21%
4.86
–
Form
Real Jaén – last 6
WDWWWW
15 Mar
vs Yeclano
1–0
W
8 Mar
@ Linares Deportivo
1–1
D
1 Mar
vs Águilas
3–1
W
25 Feb
@ Xerez Deportivo
3–1
W
22 Feb
@ Melilla
1–0
W
15 Feb
vs Deportiva Minera
2–0
W
1.8Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Puente Genil – last 6
DWLLLW
12 Apr
vs Deportiva Minera
1–1
D
5 Apr
@ Xerez
1–0
W
28 Mar
vs Yeclano
0–1
L
22 Mar
@ Linares Deportivo
0–1
L
8 Mar
@ Águilas
1–3
L
1 Mar
vs Estepona
1–0
W
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Real Jaén and Puente Genil.
What is the prediction for Real Jaén vs Puente Genil?
Our pick is Real Jaén to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Real Jaén vs Puente Genil?
On our numbers Real Jaén have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Puente Genil 11%.
How many goals will there be in Real Jaén vs Puente Genil?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 33% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Real Jaén vs Puente Genil?
Our predicted score is Real Jaén 1–0 Puente Genil, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Real Jaén vs Puente Genil?
Real Jaén vs Puente Genil (Segunda División RFEF Group 4) kicks off on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Nuevo Estadio La Victoria.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Melilla0
Deportiva Minera2
Xerez Deportivo1
La Unión Atlético4
Ucam Murcia1
Extremadura 19240
Yeclano0
Almería II0
Águilas
Lorca Deportiva