Value bet: La Unión Atlético to win @ 2.95 – our chance 36% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultUcam Murcia to win ✗40% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗50% · fair 1.99
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 9.30
La Unión Atlético vs Ucam Murcia preview and prediction
The match
La Unión Atlético host Ucam Murcia in the Segunda División RFEF Group 4 on Sunday 19 April, with kick-off at 11:00 (WAT) at Estadio Juan Cayuela.
Form guide
La Unión Atlético's last 5: LWLWL Most recently they lost to Deportiva Minera 1–2 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Ucam Murcia's last 5: LDDWL Most recently they lost to Deportiva Minera 0–2 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.2 for La Unión Atlético and 1.3 for Ucam Murcia. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 50%.
Betting angles
Win chances: La Unión Atlético 36%, draw 24%, Ucam Murcia 40%.
Value angle: La Unión Atlético to win at 2.95 – 36% on our numbers against 34% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 56% chance at odds of 1.60. Predicted score: La Unión Atlético 1–1 Ucam Murcia. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
La Unión Atlético36%fair 2.78 · @2.95
Draw24%fair 4.14 · @3.10
Ucam Murcia40%fair 2.51 · @2.20
2.48Expected goals
1.20La Unión Atlético xG
1.28Ucam Murcia xG
50%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–111%
1–010%
0–08%
1–28%
2–18%
From our goals model: La Unión Atlético 1.2 – 1.3 Ucam Murcia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ucam Murcia to win✗
40%
2.51
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.25
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
50%
1.99
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.80
1.60
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
76%
1.31
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ucam Murcia / FT Ucam Murcia✗
22%
4.53
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
11%
9.30
–
Form
La Unión Atlético – last 6
LWLWLL
15 Mar
vs Deportiva Minera
1–2
L
11 Mar
@ Linares Deportivo
2–0
W
8 Mar
@ Estepona
2–3
L
1 Mar
vs Almería II
1–0
W
22 Feb
@ Yeclano
0–1
L
15 Feb
vs Águilas
1–3
L
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Ucam Murcia – last 6
LDDWLW
5 Apr
@ Deportiva Minera
0–2
L
15 Mar
vs Linares Deportivo
1–1
D
8 Mar
@ Yeclano
1–1
D
1 Mar
vs Melilla
3–2
W
22 Feb
@ Estepona
0–2
L
15 Feb
vs Almería II
2–1
W
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between La Unión Atlético and Ucam Murcia.
What is the prediction for La Unión Atlético vs Ucam Murcia?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win La Unión Atlético vs Ucam Murcia?
On our numbers La Unión Atlético have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Ucam Murcia 40%.
How many goals will there be in La Unión Atlético vs Ucam Murcia?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for La Unión Atlético vs Ucam Murcia?
Our predicted score is La Unión Atlético 1–1 Ucam Murcia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is La Unión Atlético vs Ucam Murcia?
La Unión Atlético vs Ucam Murcia (Segunda División RFEF Group 4) kicks off on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Juan Cayuela.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Recreativo Huelva1
Melilla0
Deportiva Minera2
Xerez Deportivo1
Real Jaén2
Puente Genil0
Xerez0
Extremadura 19240
Yeclano0
Almería II0
Águilas
Lorca Deportiva