Both teams scoreNot both teams to score57% · @1.44
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals68% · fair 1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–021% · fair 4.74
Águilas vs Lorca Deportiva preview and prediction
The match
The Segunda División RFEF Group 4 sees Águilas take on Lorca Deportiva on Sunday 19 April, kicking off at 18:00 (WAT) at Estadio El Rubial.
Form guide
Águilas's last 5: WWWLD Most recently they beat Melilla 1–0 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.8 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Lorca Deportiva's last 5: DLLWL Most recently they drew with Almería II 1–1 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Águilas arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.6 for Águilas and 0.4 for Lorca Deportiva. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 68% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not.
Our pre-match pick was Águilas to win – a 68% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Águilas 1–0 Lorca Deportiva. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Águilas68%fair 1.48 · @1.44
Draw20%fair 5.12 · @3.80
Lorca Deportiva13%fair 7.87 · @6.50
2.00Expected goals
1.56Águilas xG
0.44Lorca Deportiva xG
43%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–021%
2–016%
0–014%
1–19%
3–09%
2–17%
From our goals model: Águilas 1.6 – 0.4 Lorca Deportiva expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Águilas to win
68%
1.48
1.44
Double chance
Águilas or draw
87%
1.15
1.10
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score
57%
1.77
1.44
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
59%
1.68
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
86%
1.17
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
47%
2.12
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Águilas / FT Águilas
40%
2.49
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0
21%
4.74
–
Form
Águilas – last 6
WWWLDW
12 Apr
@ Melilla
1–0
W
5 Apr
vs Xerez Deportivo
3–0
W
8 Mar
vs Puente Genil
3–1
W
1 Mar
@ Real Jaén
1–3
L
25 Feb
vs Recreativo Huelva
0–0
D
22 Feb
vs Málaga II
3–1
W
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Lorca Deportiva – last 6
DLLWLW
5 Apr
@ Almería II
1–1
D
22 Mar
@ Melilla
1–2
L
15 Mar
vs Estepona
0–2
L
8 Mar
vs Xerez Deportivo
1–0
W
1 Mar
@ Extremadura 1924
0–3
L
22 Feb
vs Antoniano
1–0
W
0.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Águilas and Lorca Deportiva.
What is the prediction for Águilas vs Lorca Deportiva?
Our pick is Águilas to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Águilas vs Lorca Deportiva?
On our numbers Águilas have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Lorca Deportiva 13%.
How many goals will there be in Águilas vs Lorca Deportiva?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Águilas vs Lorca Deportiva?
Our predicted score is Águilas 1–0 Lorca Deportiva, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Águilas vs Lorca Deportiva?
Águilas vs Lorca Deportiva (Segunda División RFEF Group 4) kicks off on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio El Rubial.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Recreativo Huelva1
Melilla0
Deportiva Minera2
Xerez Deportivo1
La Unión Atlético4
Ucam Murcia1
Real Jaén2
Puente Genil0
Xerez0
Extremadura 19240
Yeclano0
Almería II0