Marino de Luanco vs Sámano Prediction, Odds & Analysis – 26 Apr 2026

Quick tips for this match

ResultMarino de Luanco to win ✓75% · @1.10

Double chanceMarino de Luanco or draw ✓93% · fair 1.08

Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗60% · @1.22

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗79% · fair 1.27

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18% · fair 5.43

Marino de Luanco vs Sámano preview and prediction

The match

The Segunda División RFEF Group 1 sees Marino de Luanco take on Sámano on Sunday 26 April, kicking off at 11:00 (WAT) at Estadi Municipal de Miramar.

Form guide

Marino de Luanco's last 5: WDDLD Most recently they beat Coruxo 2–1 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

Sámano's last 5: LLLDL Most recently they lost to Numancia 0–3 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.

Marino de Luanco arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.2 points a game against 0.2.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 2.0 for Marino de Luanco and 0.4 for Sámano. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 40%.

Betting angles

Win chances: Marino de Luanco 75%, draw 18%, Sámano 7%.
Both teams to score: no (60%) at 1.22.

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Not both teams to score – a 60% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Marino de Luanco 1–0 Sámano. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Marino de Luanco75%fair 1.33 · @1.10

Draw18%fair 5.63 · @7.50

Sámano7%fair 13.92 · @36.00

2.36Expected goals

1.95Marino de Luanco xG

0.41Sámano xG

40%Both score

42%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–018%

2–018%

3–012%

0–09%

1–18%

2–17%

From our goals model: Marino de Luanco 2.0 – 0.4 Sámano expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Marino de Luanco to win ✓	75%	1.33	1.10
Double chance	Marino de Luanco or draw ✓	93%	1.08	–
Both teams to score	Not both teams to score ✗	60%	1.67	1.22
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	68%	1.46	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✗	58%	1.72	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✗	79%	1.27	–
Half-time result	Marino de Luanco ahead at half-time ✓	51%	1.94	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Marino de Luanco / FT Marino de Luanco ✓	49%	2.05	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–0 ✗	18%	5.43	–

Form

Marino de Luanco – last 6

WDDLDD

5 Apr	@ Coruxo	2–1	W
29 Mar	vs UD Ourense	0–0	D
15 Mar	vs Burgos Promesas	0–0	D
4 Mar	@ Gimnástica Segoviana	2–3	L
22 Feb	@ Salamanca UDS	0–0	D
15 Feb	vs Deportivo La Coruña II	0–0	D

0.7Scored / game

0.7Conceded / game

33%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

Sámano – last 5

LLLDL

19 Apr	vs Numancia	0–3	L
22 Mar	@ UD Ourense	1–3	L
8 Mar	@ Salamanca UDS	1–5	L
22 Feb	@ Real Valladolid II	2–2	D
15 Feb	vs Lealtad	0–2	L

0.8Scored / game

3.0Conceded / game

60%Both scored

80%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Sestao River	10	8	1	1	+10	25
2	Eibar II	10	6	2	2	+10	20
3	Deportivo Alavés II	10	6	2	2	+9	20
4	Bergantiños	10	5	3	2	+8	18
5	Compostela	10	5	2	3	+4	17
6	Portugalete	10	4	4	2	+3	16
7	Amorebieta	10	5	1	4	+2	16
8	Real Oviedo II	10	4	3	3	-3	15
9	Basconia	10	3	5	2	0	14
10	Ourense CF	10	4	2	4	-3	14
11	Gernika	10	2	6	2	+6	12
12	Racing Santander II	10	3	2	5	-4	11
13	Llanera	10	3	1	6	-8	10
14	Coruxo	10	2	3	5	-4	9
15	Arosa	10	1	5	4	-6	8
16	Marino de Luanco	10	2	2	6	-6	8
17	Atlético Astorga	10	2	1	7	-6	7
18	Gimnástica Torrelavega	10	1	3	6	-12	6

Team

Pts

+10

+10

-3

-3

-4

-8

-4

-6

-6

-6

Gimnástica Torrelavega

-12

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Marino de Luanco vs Sámano?

Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Marino de Luanco vs Sámano?

On our numbers Marino de Luanco have a 75% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Sámano 7%.

How many goals will there be in Marino de Luanco vs Sámano?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 40% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Marino de Luanco vs Sámano?

Our predicted score is Marino de Luanco 1–0 Sámano, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Marino de Luanco vs Sámano?

Marino de Luanco vs Sámano (Segunda División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Sunday 26 April 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadi Municipal de Miramar.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

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